Analytics
Profile detail last fetched 2h ago. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 290.45 | $0.412 | $233.81 | +$114.08 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 25?Up | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | 17d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 109.38 |
| $0.640 |
| $49.77 |
| -$20.23 |
 Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | No | 65.84 | $0.634 | $35.88 | -$5.86 |
 Canva IPO before 2027? | Yes | 41.39 | $0.241 | $0.5 | -$9.5 |
| buy |
| 3.92 |
| $0.510 |
| $2 |
| 17d ago |
 Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on August 24?Up | buy | 5.43 | $0.920 | $5 | 18d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 24?Down | buy | 5.81 | $0.860 | $5 | 18d ago |
 Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 24?Up | buy | 5.05 | $0.990 | $5 | 18d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on August 24?Down | buy | 5.12 | $0.977 | $5 | 18d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | 22d ago |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 78.13 | $0.640 | $50 | 22d ago |
 Meta (META) Up or Down on August 20?Down | buy | 5.21 | $0.960 | $5 | 22d ago |
 Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on August 20?Down | buy | 5.32 | $0.940 | $5 | 22d ago |
 Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on August 20?Down | buy | 10.2 | $0.980 | $10 | 22d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 20?Down | buy | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5 | 22d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 19?Up | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | 23d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 34.58 | $0.281 | $9.73 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 212.39 | $0.471 | $100 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Jun 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | sell | 20.83 | $0.470 | $9.79 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.140 | $4 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.230 | $10 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Canva IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 41.39 | $0.242 | $10 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by March 31?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?No | buy | 18.34 | $0.640 | $11.74 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?No | buy | 47.5 | $0.632 | $30 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 20 | $0.110 | $2.2 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 30.04 | $0.280 | $8.41 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No | buy | 25.25 | $0.550 | $13.89 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?No | buy | 15.98 | $0.626 | $10 | Feb 23, 2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 5.64 | $0.800 | $4.51 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 8.19 | $0.320 | $2.62 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 12.32 | $0.790 | $9.73 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 16 | $0.790 | $12.64 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.800 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.260 | $5 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 27.76 | $0.360 | $10 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 10.54 | $0.480 | $5.06 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 28.59 | $0.568 | $16.23 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 48.62 | $0.015 | $0.73 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 56.11 | $0.419 | $23.51 | Jan 6, 2026 |