Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.92 | $0.520 | $0.95 | -$0.05 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 35.99 | $0.694 | $24.99 | Jan 12, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 1.92 |
| $0.520 |
| $1 |
| Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 50.95 | $0.510 | $25.98 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No | buy | 23.33 | $0.694 | $16.19 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 35.99 | $0.450 | $16.2 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 40.57 | $0.460 | $18.66 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | sell | 19.48 | $0.530 | $10.32 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | sell | 8.62 | $0.560 | $4.83 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: KhameneiYes | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.35 | $0.202 | $2.09 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Somalia next?No | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 43.66 | $0.204 | $8.9 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 47.85 | $0.209 | $10 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.45 | $0.510 | $5.33 | Dec 28, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump say "Putin" 3+ times during Ukraine President events on December 28?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Putin" at least once during Ukraine President events on December 28?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.093 | $1 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?Yes | buy | 19.48 | $0.770 | $15 | Dec 27, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 23.98 | $0.973 | $23.33 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.500 | $3.29 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 3.37 | $0.976 | $3.29 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 33.92 | $0.500 | $16.96 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?No | buy | 7.35 | $0.680 | $5 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will Russia announce a Christmas truce?No | buy | 22.99 | $0.870 | $20 | Dec 26, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 20.55 | $0.730 | $15 | Dec 26, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | sell | 28.77 | $0.987 | $28.4 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Daniel Baluta be the next Mayor of Bucharest?No | sell | 14.85 | $0.995 | $14.78 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Yes | buy | 11.24 | $0.089 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Yes | sell | 7.81 | $0.052 | $0.41 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Anca Alexandrescu get between 15% and 20% of the vote in the Bucharest Mayoral election?Yes | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 28.85 | $0.104 | $3 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 60.44 | $0.066 | $4 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Yes | buy | 15.79 | $0.190 | $3 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 14.49 | $0.138 | $2 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.168 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?Yes | buy | 7.81 | $0.128 | $1 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Anca Alexandrescu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.152 | $2 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No | sell | 9.23 | $0.990 | $9.14 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Yes | sell | 19.41 | $0.994 | $19.29 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Yes | sell | 6.46 | $0.901 | $5.82 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Yes | sell | 8.62 | $0.899 | $7.75 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No | sell | 2 | $0.850 | $1.7 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.833 | $1.67 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?No | sell | 3.74 | $0.810 | $3.03 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Yes | sell | 3 | $0.769 | $2.31 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.782 | $3.91 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.761 | $1.52 | Dec 5, 2025 |