Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 35.98 | $0.950 | $35.53 | +$1.35 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.25% or lower before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | sell | 6.5 | $0.230 | $1.5 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 5.91 |
| $0.850 |
| $5.75 |
| +$0.73 |
 Will Brian Kemp announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 31.7 | $0.188 | $1.74 | -$4.22 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 21.6 | $0.150 | $1.46 | -$1.78 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 11.9 | $0.168 | $1.37 | -$0.63 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | Yes | 20.1 | $0.150 | $1.37 | -$1.65 |
 Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | Yes | 6 | $0.169 | $0.7 | -$0.32 |
 Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B? | Yes | 6.1 | $0.176 | $0.43 | -$0.65 |
 Anduril IPO before 2027? | Yes | 3.4 | $0.330 | $0.22 | -$0.9 |
 Freddie Mac IPO before 2027? | Yes | 18.5 | $0.170 | $0.2 | -$2.94 |
 Will J.D. Vance announce a presidential run before 2027? | Yes | 5.7 | $0.170 | $0.03 | -$0.94 |
| sell |
| 7.1 |
| $0.210 |
| $1.49 |
| Mar 18, 2026 |
 OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?Yes | sell | 6.5 | $0.150 | $0.98 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 10.1 | $0.160 | $1.62 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 24.1 | $0.220 | $5.3 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 BitBoy convicted?Yes | sell | 5.09 | $0.211 | $1.07 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 7.1 | $0.160 | $1.14 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| BitBoy convicted?Yes | buy | 5.09 | $0.200 | $1.02 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will Chelsea finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings?Yes | sell | 8.19 | $0.330 | $2.7 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 5.6 | $0.200 | $1.12 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Yes | sell | 8.14 | $0.052 | $0.42 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.160 | $1.04 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?Yes | sell | 12.6 | $0.060 | $0.76 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?Yes | sell | 6.39 | $0.230 | $1.47 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.8 | $0.160 | $0.93 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5.6 | $0.170 | $0.95 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 52.2 | $0.160 | $8.35 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 12.6 | $0.200 | $2.52 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Hyperliquid dip to $8 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.9 | $0.150 | $1.94 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 18.8 | $0.170 | $3.2 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 5.8 | $0.390 | $2.26 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?Yes | sell | 5.8 | $0.250 | $1.45 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 11.3 | $0.210 | $2.37 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| Will Ivanka Trump announce a presidential run before 2027?No | sell | 16.38 | $0.870 | $14.25 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 14.54 | $0.190 | $2.76 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET?Yes | sell | 8.1 | $0.151 | $1.22 | Mar 15, 2026 |
 Rippling IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 5.6 | $0.170 | $0.95 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 26.8 | $0.170 | $4.56 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?No | sell | 5.23 | $0.930 | $4.86 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.170 | $1.36 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 2.1 | $0.520 | $1.09 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.210 | $1.05 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.180 | $3.24 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 2.1 | $0.490 | $1.03 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Anduril IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.4 | $0.330 | $1.12 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes | sell | 2.9 | $0.510 | $1.48 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Rippling IPO before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.6 | $0.190 | $1.06 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | sell | 2.1 | $0.602 | $1.26 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | buy | 2.1 | $0.597 | $1.25 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | sell | 3.8 | $0.603 | $2.29 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | buy | 1.8 | $0.603 | $1.09 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.627 | $1.25 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?Yes | sell | 23.6 | $0.260 | $6.14 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20.4 | $0.210 | $4.28 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the Charlotte Hornets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.540 | $1.57 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 6.17 | $0.860 | $5.31 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 1.13 | $0.910 | $1.03 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?No | sell | 5.74 | $0.793 | $4.55 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes | sell | 12.26 | $0.086 | $1.05 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Labour leadership election scheduled by March 31?Yes | sell | 14.18 | $0.021 | $0.3 | Mar 9, 2026 |