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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?Yes | sell | 1.64 | $0.810 | $1.33 | Jan 17, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 3.98 |
| $0.910 |
| $3.62 |
| Jan 14, 2026 |
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | sell | 1.62 | $0.982 | $1.59 | Dec 12, 2025 |
Will Mike Wheeler die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.930 | $1.11 | Dec 9, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 1.94 | $0.986 | $1.91 | Dec 8, 2025 |
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.890 | $1.46 | Dec 4, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?Yes | sell | 1.82 | $0.680 | $1.24 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will the Cardinals win the NFC Championship?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.999 | $1.23 | Nov 28, 2025 |
Will Amon-Ra St. Brown be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?No | sell | 1.05 | $0.531 | $0.56 | Nov 22, 2025 |
Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.900 | $1.01 | Nov 22, 2025 |
Will SBF appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?No | sell | 1.44 | $0.982 | $1.41 | Nov 18, 2025 |
Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.760 | $1.25 | Nov 16, 2025 |
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | sell | 2.88 | $0.068 | $0.2 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win by >9%?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.620 | $1.13 | Nov 12, 2025 |
Will SBF appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.970 | $1.4 | Nov 3, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?No | sell | 1 | $0.995 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon SBF by October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 2.89 | $0.350 | $1.01 | Oct 23, 2025 |
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No | buy | 1.63 | $0.910 | $1.48 | Oct 12, 2025 |
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | sell | 1.18 | $0.997 | $1.18 | Oct 8, 2025 |
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 19 to September 26, 2025?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.480 | $1.41 | Sep 25, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August?No | sell | 1.1 | $0.999 | $1.1 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will Amon-Ra St. Brown be the Top Fantasy Wide Receiver for the 2025–26 NFL Regular Season?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.972 | $1.03 | Aug 16, 2025 |
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | sell | 1.24 | $0.997 | $1.24 | Aug 13, 2025 |
Will Brentford win the 2025–26 English Premier League?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.998 | $1.24 | Aug 10, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 1.4 | $0.982 | $1.37 | Aug 7, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $200K in August?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.998 | $1.1 | Aug 6, 2025 |
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?No | sell | 1.43 | $0.900 | $1.29 | Aug 3, 2025 |
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2025?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.920 | $1.32 | Jul 31, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | sell | 1.35 | $0.910 | $1.23 | Jul 29, 2025 |
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 1.36 | $0.920 | $1.25 | Jul 28, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?No | sell | 1.66 | $0.900 | $1.49 | Jul 26, 2025 |
China coup attempt in 2025?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.930 | $1.05 | Jul 26, 2025 |
Will Andrónico Rodríguez win the 2025 Bolivia presidential election?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.840 | $1.1 | Jul 19, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 1.48 | $0.963 | $1.43 | Jul 15, 2025 |
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.994 | $1.18 | Jul 10, 2025 |
Will Ethereum close above $2000 on July 31?Yes | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Jul 6, 2025 |
Will Man City win the FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | buy | 3.9 | $0.300 | $1.17 | Jul 1, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before August?Yes | sell | 2.36 | $0.200 | $0.47 | Jun 30, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy before August?Yes | buy | 2.36 | $0.550 | $1.3 | Jun 26, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025?No | buy | 1.66 | $0.800 | $1.33 | Jun 20, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | sell | 1.73 | $0.973 | $1.68 | Jun 19, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump visit Taiwan in 2025?No | buy | 1.13 | $0.940 | $1.06 | Jun 17, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5 AM ETDown | sell | 1.38 | $0.490 | $0.68 | Jun 13, 2025 |
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 5 AM ETDown | buy | 2.63 | $0.510 | $1.34 | Jun 12, 2025 |
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2025 National League Championship?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.994 | $1.07 | Jun 9, 2025 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | sell | 0.42 | $0.880 | $0.37 | Jun 7, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 1.62 | $0.820 | $1.33 | Jun 7, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.978 | $1.25 | Jun 4, 2025 |
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?No | sell | 0.44 | $0.890 | $0.39 | Jun 4, 2025 |