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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 400 | $0.385 | $201 | +$47 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.330 | $33 | May 3, 2026 |
| Yes |
| 1.09K |
| $0.253 |
| $157.07 |
| -$117.93 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 1.82K | $0.055 | $141.82 | +$41.82 |
 Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 400 | $0.265 | $80.6 | -$25.4 |
Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.056 |
| $5.59 |
| May 3, 2026 |
| Will Rafael Jodar win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.035 | $1.79 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Felix Auger Aliassime win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.006 | $2.4 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Ben Shelton win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | buy | 600 | $0.007 | $4.2 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.015 | $6 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.014 | $5.6 | May 3, 2026 |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 266.99 | $0.265 | $70.75 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.385 | $154 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 421.45 | $0.049 | $20.65 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | sell | 52 | $0.091 | $4.73 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | sell | 421.44 | $0.144 | $60.72 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 363.64 | $0.055 | $20 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 679.06 | $0.211 | $143.28 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.09K | $0.253 | $275 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.7K | $0.160 | $272.73 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 1.45K | $0.055 | $80 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 333.33 | $0.600 | $200 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes | buy | 842.9 | $0.178 | $150 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | sell | 79.36 | $0.560 | $44.44 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?Yes | buy | 79.37 | $0.630 | $50 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | sell | 300 | $0.634 | $190.2 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding on March 31?Yes | sell | 0.78 | $0.100 | $0.08 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 679.07 | $0.215 | $146 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.7K | $0.176 | $300 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.53 | $0.654 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?Yes | buy | 37.29 | $0.590 | $22 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14?Yes | buy | 52 | $0.250 | $13 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?Down | sell | 0.11 | $0.730 | $0.08 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 158.48 | $0.631 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 229.67 | $0.005 | $1.15 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 178.63 | $0.560 | $100 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2?Down | buy | 294.12 | $0.680 | $200 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 296.94 | $0.996 | $295.75 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 717.14 | $0.007 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 41.49 | $0.699 | $29 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 4.55 | $0.660 | $3 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 12.71 | $0.708 | $9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 340.43 | $0.974 | $331.6 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 298.74 | $0.669 | $200 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 7.6 | $0.966 | $7.34 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?No | sell | 190.89 | $0.035 | $6.68 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 112.49 | $0.969 | $109 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?No | sell | 469.04 | $0.020 | $9.38 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 176.86 | $0.899 | $159 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?No | buy | 469.04 | $0.746 | $350 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?Yes | sell | 104.38 | $0.992 | $103.54 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?Yes | buy | 104.38 | $0.958 | $100 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?Yes | sell | 60.55 | $0.943 | $57.1 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?No | buy | 215.05 | $0.930 | $200 | Feb 27, 2026 |