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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026? | No | 19 | $0.320 | $18.44 | +$12.36 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.530 | $4.77 | 10d ago |
| Yes |
| 19 |
| $0.610 |
| $15.77 |
| +$4.18 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | Yes | 21 | $0.690 | $13.76 | -$0.73 |
 Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 14 | $0.690 | $13.3 | +$3.64 |
 Will the Republican Party win the NC-09 House seat? | Yes | 14 | $0.810 | $10.99 | -$0.35 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | No | 11 | $0.890 | $10.29 | +$0.5 |
 Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election? | No | 33 | $0.370 | $9.74 | -$2.48 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | No | 11 | $0.870 | $9.08 | -$0.49 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%? | No | 13 | $0.630 | $7.48 | -$0.71 |
 Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026? | Yes | 26 | $0.210 | $6.76 | +$1.3 |
 Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 11 | $0.410 | $3.8 | -$0.72 |
 Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | Yes | 17 | $0.320 | $3.15 | -$2.29 |
 Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | Yes | 2 | $0.760 | $1.37 | -$0.15 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | No | 0.99 | $0.240 | $0.07 | -$0.16 |
Will the Ornn H100 Index be between $2.50 and $2.75 on September 30, 2026?Yes| buy |
| 26 |
| $0.210 |
| $5.46 |
| 10d ago |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.530 | $5.3 | 10d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 9 | $0.700 | $6.3 | 12d ago |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.590 | $7.08 | 12d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?Yes | sell | 24 | $0.110 | $2.64 | 13d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.330 | $7.92 | 14d ago |
 Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?Yes | sell | 13 | $0.478 | $6.21 | 14d ago |
| Will the Sweden Democrats (SD) win the third most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 17 | $0.320 | $5.44 | 14d ago |
 Will Jaques Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.410 | $4.51 | 14d ago |
| Will Roseana Sarney win the most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.430 | $5.59 | 14d ago |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 68 | $0.026 | $1.76 | 14d ago |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.510 | $6.12 | 14d ago |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?No | sell | 22 | $0.180 | $3.96 | 15d ago |
 Will Jack Grealish stay at Manchester City?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | 15d ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.137 | $9.32 | 15d ago |
| Will SPD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?No | buy | 11 | $0.870 | $9.57 | 15d ago |
 Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Yes | sell | 29 | $0.400 | $11.6 | 15d ago |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by September 11, 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.320 | $6.08 | 16d ago |
 Will RNI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?No | sell | 13 | $0.610 | $7.93 | 16d ago |
| Will Jaques Wagner win the second-most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.560 | $6.16 | 16d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 13 | $0.540 | $7.02 | 16d ago |
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.760 | $9.12 | 16d ago |
 Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?No | sell | 13 | $0.896 | $11.65 | 17d ago |
 Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No | sell | 16 | $0.750 | $12 | 18d ago |
 Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30?No | sell | 11 | $0.720 | $7.92 | 18d ago |
| Another GTA VI trailer released by August 31?Yes | buy | 29 | $0.320 | $9.28 | 19d ago |
 Will the number of Democratic House members who retire in 2026 be between 20 and 23 inclusive?No | sell | 12 | $0.592 | $7.1 | 19d ago |
| Will Jack Grealish stay at Manchester City?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.650 | $6.5 | 20d ago |
 Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.660 | $7.26 | 20d ago |
 Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No | sell | 14 | $0.370 | $5.18 | 20d ago |
| Will Google have the best Text-to-Video AI at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.560 | $6.16 | 20d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?No | buy | 11 | $0.890 | $9.79 | 20d ago |
 Will Michael J. Fox – “Shrinking” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.393 | $7.47 | 21d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?Yes | sell | 26 | $0.130 | $3.38 | 21d ago |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 24?No | sell | 17 | $0.243 | $4.12 | 21d ago |
 Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?No | sell | 19 | $0.310 | $5.89 | 21d ago |
| Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 11 | $0.410 | $4.51 | 21d ago |
 Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?No | sell | 23 | $0.120 | $2.76 | 21d ago |
 Will Dee Valladares win Big Brother season 28?No | sell | 11 | $0.840 | $9.24 | 22d ago |
 Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 40 | $0.158 | $6.33 | 22d ago |
| Will Raphael Glucksmann win the Socialist Party nomination to contest the 2027 French presidential elections?No | buy | 19 | $0.510 | $9.69 | 23d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of October 2026?No | sell | 11 | $0.260 | $2.86 | 23d ago |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?No | buy | 23 | $0.640 | $14.72 | 23d ago |
| Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | sell | 19 | $0.044 | $0.84 | 23d ago |
 Will Marcus Rashford stay at Manchester United?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.777 | $13.99 | 24d ago |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.240 | $9.6 | 24d ago |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | sell | 74 | $0.100 | $7.4 | 24d ago |
| Will Google be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 19 | $0.307 | $5.82 | 24d ago |
| Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?No | buy | 16 | $0.660 | $10.56 | 24d ago |