Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 5.41 | $0.370 | $3.32 | +$1.32 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.480 | $2 | 22h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 2.9 |
| $0.690 |
| $2.59 |
| +$0.59 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | No | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2.21 | +$0.21 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2.06 | +$0.06 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026? | Yes | 4.17 | $0.480 | $1.98 | -$0.02 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | Yes | 2.82 | $0.710 | $1.85 | -$0.15 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | No | 2.6 | $0.770 | $1.08 | -$0.92 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.320 | $0.84 | -$1.16 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.220 | $0.2 | -$1.8 |
| buy |
| 3.7 |
| $0.540 |
| $2 |
| 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?Yes | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 1d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | 2d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 5.41 | $0.370 | $2 | 6d ago |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?No | buy | 2.7 | $0.740 | $2 | 7d ago |
| Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August?No | buy | 2.82 | $0.710 | $2 | 7d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.560 | $2 | 8d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 4.44 | $0.450 | $2 | 9d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.39 | $0.590 | $2 | 9d ago |
 Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 9d ago |
| Will Andy Burnham say "King" during the next PMQ?Yes | buy | 6.85 | $0.292 | $2 | 9d ago |
 Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $340 Week of August 31 2026?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | 9d ago |
 SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 31?Up | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | 10d ago |
 Will Moonshot be the #3 AI Lab at the end of August 2026 (Style Control On)?Yes | buy | 4.41 | $0.454 | $2 | 14d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.771 | $1.35 | 15d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 18d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | 18d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.61 | $0.767 | $2 | 18d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | 20d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 3.64 | $0.550 | $2 | 22d ago |
 US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 31?No | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | 22d ago |
 Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $560 Week of August 17 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | 22d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.750 | $2 | 23d ago |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $216 Week of August 17 2026?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.810 | $2 | 23d ago |
 Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $1,080 Week of August 17 2026?No | buy | 3.33 | $0.600 | $2 | 23d ago |
 Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $180 Week of August 17 2026?No | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | 24d ago |
 Will La-Z-Boy (LZB) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | 24d ago |
 Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | 24d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | 25d ago |
 Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.460 | $2 | 25d ago |
| Will White House post 200+ posts from August 18 to August 25, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | 25d ago |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?No | buy | 2.74 | $0.730 | $2 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | 26d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 13 to August 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | 27d ago |
 Will Trump say "Transgender" during remarks in New York?No | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | 27d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | 28d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | 28d ago |
| Will Trump say "Barack Hussein Obama" during remarks in New York?Yes | buy | 4.08 | $0.490 | $2 | 28d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | 29d ago |
| S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 11?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Aug 11, 2026 |
 Walmart (WMT) Q2 US eCommerce sales growth 25%-29%?Yes | buy | 3.7 | $0.540 | $2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
| Will White House post 180-199 posts from August 4 to August 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation stay flat (0.0%) in July?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Aug 9, 2026 |