Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | No | 113.64 | $0.880 | $106.25 | +$6.25 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the ECB announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 7.32 | $0.410 | $3 | Jul 17, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 33.33 |
| $0.750 |
| $25.32 |
| +$0.32 |
 Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 43.38 | $0.530 | $20.61 | -$2.39 |
 Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026? | No | 13.7 | $0.730 | $12.95 | +$2.95 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | 12.5 | $0.800 | $12.11 | +$2.11 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | No | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10.87 | +$0.87 |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10.36 | +$0.36 |
 Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? | No | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10.22 | +$0.22 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 10.43 | $0.479 | $10.07 | +$5.07 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 22.22 | $0.450 | $8.11 | -$1.89 |
 Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | No | 6.49 | $0.770 | $4.58 | -$0.42 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 15.15 | $0.330 | $4.39 | -$0.61 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 26.03 | $0.384 | $2.47 | -$7.53 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $2.21 | +$1.21 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1.46 | +$0.46 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | Yes | 9.52 | $0.210 | $0.57 | -$1.43 |
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 7.5 | $0.400 | $0.49 | -$2.51 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 5 | $0.200 | $0.39 | -$0.61 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 1.69 | $0.590 | $0.29 | -$0.71 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 3.57 | $0.280 | $0.29 | -$0.71 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 8.33 | $0.120 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
| buy |
| 12.05 |
| $0.830 |
| $10 |
| Jul 15, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 113.64 | $0.880 | $100 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?No | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.330 | $5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 26.03 | $0.384 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 519.46 | $0.990 | $514.27 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?No | buy | 6.49 | $0.770 | $5 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?Yes | buy | 7.04 | $0.710 | $5 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?No | buy | 6.45 | $0.310 | $2 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | sell | 4.65 | $0.360 | $1.67 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.360 | $20 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | sell | 14.7 | $0.280 | $4.12 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 5.55 | $0.240 | $1.33 | Mar 26, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 2.85 | $0.480 | $1.37 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 38.46 | $0.520 | $20 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.350 | $20 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Mar 21, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of March?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Nothing Ever Happens: 2026No | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 4.92 | $0.610 | $3 | Feb 16, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | buy | 10.43 | $0.479 | $5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?No | buy | 13.7 | $0.730 | $10 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 Starmer out by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Feb 8, 2026 |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.750 | $25 | Feb 1, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 212.77 | $0.470 | $100 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.420 | $20 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Jan 18, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 10.64 | $0.470 | $5 | Jan 18, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.800 | $10 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.135 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.44 | $0.479 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.9 | $0.127 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.71 | $0.149 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.5 | $0.154 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.87 | $0.127 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.63 | $0.086 | $1 | Jan 3, 2026 |