Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Megaquake before August?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.999 | $99.9 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 106.62 |
| $0.038 |
| $4 |
| Jul 11, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 135–149 times July 4–11?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Jul 10, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Fritz win Wimbledon 2025?Yes | buy | 210.69 | $0.038 | $8 | Jul 9, 2025 |
| Megaquake before August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 165–179 times June 27–July 4?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on July 2?Yes | buy | 39.29 | $0.127 | $5 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 52.94 | $0.170 | $9 | Jul 2, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.115 | $5 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 24.07 | $0.540 | $13 | Jun 12, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.030 | $3 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?Yes | buy | 202.7 | $0.074 | $15 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open?Yes | buy | 12.82 | $0.078 | $1 | Jun 3, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 2?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps decrease at the June meeting?Yes | buy | 151.9 | $0.007 | $1 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 230 or more times May 30–June 6?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will the May 2025 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| French Open: Sinner vs. GasquetGasquet | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | May 29, 2025 |
| French Open: Sinner vs. GasquetGasquet | buy | 71.43 | $0.014 | $1 | May 29, 2025 |
 Ethereum all time high by June 30?Yes | sell | 67.64 | $0.030 | $2.03 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Ali Khamenei be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 100.8 | $0.059 | $5.97 | May 28, 2025 |
| French Open: Alcaraz vs. MarozsánMarozsán | buy | 103.45 | $0.058 | $6 | May 28, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on May 27?Yes | buy | 25.64 | $0.039 | $1 | May 27, 2025 |
| Megaquake in May?Yes | buy | 98.52 | $0.020 | $2 | May 24, 2025 |
 Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 44.42 | $0.045 | $2 | May 19, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 16–23?Yes | buy | 29.07 | $0.034 | $1 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?Yes | sell | 47.81 | $0.992 | $47.44 | May 19, 2025 |
 Will Italy win Eurovision 2025?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.010 | $4 | May 15, 2025 |
| Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 11.5–12m?Yes | buy | 47.82 | $0.105 | $5 | May 14, 2025 |
| Will voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be between 9–9.5mYes | buy | 70 | $0.014 | $1 | May 14, 2025 |
| Ethereum all time high in May?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | May 9, 2025 |
 Fed emergency rate cut in 2025?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.200 | $3.33 | May 9, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 188.22 | $0.009 | $1.69 | May 9, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 188.22 | $0.011 | $2 | May 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.002 | $2 | May 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | May 7, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 157.89 | $0.019 | $3 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Portugal finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | May 6, 2025 |
 Bank of England rate cut in May meeting?No | buy | 40.48 | $0.025 | $1 | May 5, 2025 |
| Bank of England rate cut in May meeting?No | buy | 49 | $0.020 | $1 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Raymond Burke be the next pope?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.013 | $1 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Jean-Marc Aveline be the next pope?Yes | buy | 73.33 | $0.027 | $1.98 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win by over 18%?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.090 | $15 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?Yes | sell | 356.81 | $0.680 | $242.63 | May 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump's approval rating be less than 43.0% on May 9?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | May 4, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103000 on May 9?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | May 4, 2025 |