Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 67.13 | $0.079 | $5.31 | Jan 14, 2026 |
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Grizzled-Timer is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #377,806 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows +$30.22 observed lifetime PnL, 14 resolved positions, a 64.3% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xbc7f2d14e75d6aa3633640190c0b3a8a5880abb3
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 11 |
| $0.116 |
| $1.27 |
| Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.1 | $0.086 | $2.6 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 97.03 | $0.027 | $2.6 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 97.04 | $0.081 | $7.86 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 51.22 | $0.164 | $8.41 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?Yes | buy | 121 | $0.020 | $2.42 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?No | sell | 88.97 | $0.308 | $27.42 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?No | buy | 88.98 | $0.490 | $43.6 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.020 | $4 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.05 | $0.195 | $2.54 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?Yes | sell | 287.35 | $0.052 | $14.97 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 287.35 | $0.017 | $4.87 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.05 | $0.123 | $1.61 | Jan 10, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 95.52 | $0.992 | $94.76 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 95.52 | $0.170 | $16.24 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?Yes | sell | 73.48 | $0.430 | $31.6 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 73.48 | $0.290 | $21.31 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?No | buy | 30.73 | $0.628 | $19.3 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | sell | 72.12 | $0.025 | $1.8 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?Yes | buy | 72.13 | $0.089 | $6.43 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Jensen Huang say "Self-Driving" 3+ times during NVIDIA keynote?No | buy | 19.88 | $0.352 | $6.99 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.999 | $6.99 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.01 | $0.899 | $6.3 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?Yes | sell | 48.19 | $0.131 | $6.3 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 130-139 tweets from January 3 to January 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.19 | $0.072 | $3.47 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Tim Walz drop out by January 6?No | buy | 30 | $0.100 | $3 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETUp | buy | 3.41 | $0.490 | $1.67 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETUp | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETUp | buy | 12.92 | $0.232 | $3 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETUp | sell | 9.59 | $0.590 | $5.66 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETUp | buy | 9.59 | $0.440 | $4.22 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETDown | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETDown | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETUp | sell | 5.25 | $0.920 | $4.83 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETDown | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETUp | buy | 5.26 | $0.570 | $3 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETUp | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETDown | sell | 7.79 | $0.820 | $6.39 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETDown | buy | 7.8 | $0.490 | $3.82 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETUp | sell | 5.31 | $0.720 | $3.82 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ETUp | buy | 5.31 | $0.480 | $2.55 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ETUp | buy | 116 | $0.009 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Happy New Year" this week? (December 29 - January 4)No | buy | 41.88 | $0.048 | $2 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Happy New Year" this week? (December 29 - January 4)No | buy | 48.16 | $0.042 | $2 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Happy New Year" this week? (December 29 - January 4)No | buy | 61.77 | $0.049 | $3 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Happy New Year" this week? (December 29 - January 4)No | buy | 87.25 | $0.149 | $13 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 4?Yes | buy | 107.35 | $0.028 | $3 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (December 29 - January 4)No | sell | 34.3 | $0.774 | $26.55 | Jan 4, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.