Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?No | sell | 40.81 | $0.900 | $36.73 | May 25, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 40.82 |
| $0.490 |
| $20 |
| May 23, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | sell | 27.54 | $0.630 | $17.35 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 24.1 | $0.420 | $10.12 | Mar 18, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 24 | $0.840 | $20.16 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 24 | $0.830 | $19.92 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 55.55 | $0.460 | $25.55 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.360 | $20 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?No | sell | 23.25 | $0.870 | $20.23 | Dec 29, 2025 |
| Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 76.92 | $0.483 | $37.12 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 111.73 | $0.179 | $20 | Nov 19, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | sell | 40.12 | $0.870 | $34.9 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.600 | $20 | Oct 6, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 22.47 | $0.973 | $21.86 | Oct 1, 2025 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 40.12 | $0.499 | $20 | Sep 27, 2025 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | Sep 27, 2025 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | sell | 26.66 | $0.900 | $23.99 | Sep 26, 2025 |
 Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.220 | $17.6 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Lord Miles completes 40-day water fast in the desert?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.234 | $18.76 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?Yes | sell | 29.41 | $0.443 | $13.02 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | sell | 24.39 | $0.710 | $17.32 | Sep 16, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Yes | sell | 51.81 | $0.382 | $19.8 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Yes | buy | 51.81 | $0.386 | $20 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?No | sell | 33.33 | $0.872 | $29.05 | Sep 2, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.820 | $20 | Sep 1, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip below $100k before 2026?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.680 | $20 | Aug 29, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 118.39 | $0.080 | $9.47 | Aug 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.600 | $20 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 26.67 | $0.750 | $20 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Yes | sell | 40.32 | $0.594 | $23.94 | Aug 18, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | sell | 117.64 | $0.230 | $27.06 | Aug 14, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?Yes | buy | 40.32 | $0.496 | $20 | Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | sell | 31.25 | $0.850 | $26.56 | Jul 13, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | sell | 24.09 | $0.930 | $22.4 | Jul 13, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 118.39 | $0.169 | $20 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during the Fox News interview on July 12?Yes | buy | 25.23 | $0.793 | $20 | Jul 12, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser in July?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.240 | $20 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | sell | 74.07 | $0.860 | $63.7 | Jul 11, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115K in July?Yes | sell | 31.74 | $0.660 | $20.95 | Jul 10, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | buy | 74.07 | $0.270 | $20 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115K in July?Yes | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?No | sell | 35.08 | $0.600 | $21.05 | Jul 3, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?No | buy | 35.09 | $0.570 | $20 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 North Korea missile test by June 30?No | buy | 30.38 | $0.658 | $20 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 24.1 | $0.830 | $20 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?No | buy | 31.25 | $0.640 | $20 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before October?Yes | buy | 117.65 | $0.170 | $20 | Jun 19, 2025 |