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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 2.3 | $0.870 | $1.78 | -$0.22 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.06 | $0.620 | $5 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 1.47 |
| $0.910 |
| $1.34 |
| Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 3.03 | $0.770 | $2.33 | May 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | sell | 1.78 | $0.650 | $1.16 | May 13, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?No | sell | 8.15 | $0.997 | $8.13 | May 13, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?No | buy | 8.15 | $0.840 | $6.85 | May 8, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?Yes | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | May 8, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 1.55 | $0.644 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | sell | 1.27 | $0.708 | $0.9 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?No | buy | 2.35 | $0.850 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 1.28 | $0.783 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?No | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | sell | 5.6 | $0.996 | $5.58 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 2.54 | $0.931 | $2.36 | Mar 30, 2026 |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.81 | $0.982 | $1.78 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 2.54 | $0.790 | $2.01 | Mar 24, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.94 | $0.330 | $0.97 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.780 | $2 | Mar 23, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | sell | 2.8 | $0.944 | $2.64 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 1.67 | $0.840 | $1.4 | Mar 17, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.860 | $1.57 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will Vance say "Gasoline" during his Rocky Mount visit?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?No | sell | 2.63 | $0.820 | $2.16 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Vance say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during his Rocky Mount visit?Yes | buy | 5.5 | $0.182 | $1 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Will Vance say "Israel" during his Rocky Mount visit?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Mar 13, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | sell | 2.45 | $0.984 | $2.41 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.871 | $2.07 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 1.47 | $0.679 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | buy | 2.8 | $0.357 | $1 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | sell | 6.06 | $0.671 | $4.07 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?Yes | buy | 2.45 | $0.910 | $2.23 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.68 | $0.840 | $1.41 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.09 | $0.640 | $1.34 | Feb 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 3.13 | $0.640 | $2 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?No | buy | 3.25 | $0.830 | $2.7 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 French forces seize another oil tanker by Feb 28?No | sell | 2.94 | $0.951 | $2.8 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.580 | $1.08 | Feb 13, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 3.03 | $0.660 | $2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.680 | $2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.870 | $2 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 2.94 | $0.540 | $1.59 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 3.57 | $0.460 | $1.64 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027?No | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?No | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Feb 1, 2026 |