Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 780 | $0.006 | $4.68 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 31.24 |
| $0.130 |
| $4.06 |
| Jun 16, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 3.99K | $0.016 | $65 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes | buy | 31.24 | $0.140 | $4.37 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 212.22 | $0.009 | $1.91 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 1.01K | $0.050 | $50 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 143.18 | $0.850 | $121.7 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 143.18 | $0.440 | $63 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 118.87 | $0.540 | $64.19 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 118.87 | $0.311 | $37 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes | sell | 131.71 | $0.280 | $36.88 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14Yes | buy | 131.71 | $0.350 | $46.1 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | sell | 660 | $0.070 | $46.2 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?Yes | buy | 660 | $0.050 | $33 | Jun 13, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | sell | 3K | $0.011 | $32.55 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?Yes | buy | 13.13K | $0.008 | $105 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | sell | 7.04K | $0.015 | $105.49 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.036 | $1 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 8?No | buy | 1.48K | $0.041 | $60 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?Yes | sell | 1.85K | $0.028 | $52.72 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?Yes | buy | 124 | $0.015 | $1.86 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 501.25 | $0.050 | $25.06 | Jun 6, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.090 | $1.08 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.061 | $1.65 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.120 | $1.44 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 501.25 | $0.080 | $40 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?Yes | buy | 68 | $0.062 | $4.22 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?Yes | buy | 36 | $0.062 | $2.23 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?Yes | buy | 18.74 | $0.061 | $1.14 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?Yes | buy | 18.74 | $0.060 | $1.12 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by June 7?Yes | buy | 18.74 | $0.060 | $1.12 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 999.99 | $0.080 | $80 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.270 | $4.05 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 75.49 | $0.060 | $4.53 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?Yes | sell | 85.45 | $0.013 | $1.11 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.260 | $2.08 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?Yes | buy | 32.79 | $0.250 | $8.2 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?Yes | buy | 74.15 | $0.270 | $20 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?Yes | buy | 157.58 | $0.254 | $40 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?Yes | buy | 114 | $0.190 | $21.66 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?Yes | buy | 43 | $0.190 | $8.17 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?Yes | buy | 28.67 | $0.170 | $4.87 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Choukine by May 31?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.021 | $41.25 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?Yes | buy | 371.44 | $0.158 | $58.83 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?Yes | buy | 15 | $0.150 | $2.25 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?Yes | buy | 570.48 | $0.150 | $85.37 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.190 | $190.24 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Israeli forces enter Choukine by June 7?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.130 | $3.25 | Jun 3, 2026 |