Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.25K | $0.551 | $1.79K | Jun 14, 2026 |
|
| sell |
| 257.5 |
| $0.600 |
| $154.6 |
| Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | sell | 20.05K | $0.998 | $20.01K | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | buy | 382.52 | $0.975 | $372.96 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | buy | 83.43 | $0.980 | $81.76 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Yes | sell | 17.85K | $0.997 | $17.8K | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Yes | sell | 544.56 | $0.998 | $543.47 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Yes | buy | 18.43K | $0.977 | $18K | May 23, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.460 | $2.3 | May 20, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?Yes | buy | 3.31K | $0.008 | $26.51 | May 13, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 4K | $0.190 | $760 | May 11, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 79.9 | $0.449 | $35.85 | May 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.85K | $0.650 | $2.5K | May 11, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.33K | $0.600 | $5K | May 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?No | buy | 19.88K | $0.956 | $19K | May 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?No | buy | 18.68K | $0.964 | $18K | May 7, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by May 8?Yes | buy | 3.57K | $0.280 | $1K | May 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No | sell | 1.21K | $0.995 | $1.21K | May 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?No | buy | 125 | $0.990 | $123.75 | May 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 46.19 | $0.280 | $12.93 | May 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.9K | $0.290 | $551 | May 1, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.48K | $0.230 | $571 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 146.58 | $0.910 | $133.39 | Apr 28, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.15K | $0.887 | $9K | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 9.5K | $0.920 | $8.74K | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?No | buy | 45 | $0.750 | $33.75 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?No | buy | 17.02K | $0.940 | $16K | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?No | sell | 0.19 | $0.955 | $0.18 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 6.76K | $0.522 | $3.53K | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?No | buy | 4.85K | $0.940 | $4.56K | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 504.96 | $0.079 | $40 | Apr 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 500.53 | $0.030 | $15 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.007 | $7 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?Yes | sell | 266.6 | $0.080 | $21.33 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | buy | 22.38K | $0.942 | $21.08K | Mar 30, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.090 | $9 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.030 | $15 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?Yes | buy | 166.6 | $0.150 | $24.99 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.015 | $15 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.038 | $5 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31?Yes | buy | 147.94 | $0.034 | $5 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.015 | $20 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?Yes | buy | 1.78K | $0.001 | $1.78 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 15?Yes | sell | 211.68 | $0.015 | $3.18 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?Yes | buy | 37.26 | $0.270 | $10.06 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Ceasefire" 3+ times during conference with Putin on August 15?No | buy | 58.39 | $0.171 | $10 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Steve" or "Witkoff" during conference with Putin on August 15?No | buy | 18.22 | $0.274 | $5 | Aug 15, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.150 | $15 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas in 2025?Yes | buy | 113.58 | $0.132 | $15 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?Yes | buy | 109.38 | $0.320 | $35 | Aug 15, 2025 |