Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 131.58 | $0.760 | $129.34 | +$29.34 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?No | buy | 12.52 | $0.799 | $10 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 |
| No |
| 103.18 |
| $0.969 |
| $101.89 |
| +$1.89 |
 Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 101.85 | $0.982 | $101.7 | +$1.7 |
 Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10.05 | +$0.05 |
| buy |
| 11.24 |
| $0.890 |
| $10 |
| Dec 5, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 18.13 | $0.552 | $10 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Zohran Mamdani ParlayYes | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 10.06 | $0.994 | $10 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 101.85 | $0.982 | $100 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 103.18 | $0.969 | $100 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 131.58 | $0.760 | $100 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 11.68 | $0.856 | $10 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Trump’s approval rating be less than 42.5 on November 7 2025?Yes | buy | 24.68 | $0.770 | $19 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Gavin Newsom arrested by December 31?No | buy | 10.16 | $0.984 | $10 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Israel strike Gaza on November 5?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 32.93 | $0.820 | $27 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Maduro out by November 30, 2025?No | buy | 32.61 | $0.920 | $30 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 30% or more?No | buy | 28.33 | $0.953 | $27 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani not win the 2025 New York City mayoral election?No | buy | 24.19 | $0.951 | $23 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 10.54 | $0.949 | $10 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 37.06 | $0.971 | $36 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Democratic sweep?Yes | buy | 23.53 | $0.850 | $20 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?No | buy | 67.67 | $0.768 | $52 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?No | buy | 74.24 | $0.660 | $49 | Nov 4, 2025 |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?No | buy | 33.55 | $0.924 | $31 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 105.49 | $0.948 | $100 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Russia rejoin the G7 in 2025?No | sell | 11.36 | $0.984 | $11.17 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?No | sell | 11.11 | $0.998 | $11.09 | Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Trump visit Texas by Friday?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.840 | $10 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?Yes | buy | 31.75 | $0.630 | $20 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?Yes | buy | 38.96 | $0.770 | $30 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Starmer out before July?No | buy | 10.16 | $0.984 | $10 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 NBA Finals: Thunder vs. PacersThunder | buy | 11.76 | $0.850 | $10 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.910 | $10 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Jennifer Geerlings-Simons be the next president of Suriname after the election?Yes | buy | 11.22 | $0.891 | $10 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross less than $20m opening weekend?No | buy | 10.59 | $0.944 | $10 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Will "Karate Kid: Legends" gross $20m or more but less than $23m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 10.62 | $0.942 | $10 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Will Pope Leo visit Ukraine first?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.900 | $10 | May 22, 2025 |
 German government files appeal to ban AfD in 2025?No | buy | 10.75 | $0.930 | $10 | May 22, 2025 |
 AfD banned in 2025?No | buy | 10.36 | $0.965 | $10 | May 22, 2025 |
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany in 2025?No | buy | 10.42 | $0.960 | $10 | May 22, 2025 |
 US government shutdown in 2025?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.330 | $10 | May 22, 2025 |
 Nord Stream pipeline turned on in 2025?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump cut Medicaid before July?No | buy | 12.77 | $0.783 | $10 | May 22, 2025 |
 Von der Leyen out in 2025?No | buy | 21.51 | $0.930 | $20 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Taylor Swift" this week?No | buy | 10.41 | $0.961 | $10 | May 22, 2025 |
 Biden seen in public before June?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | May 22, 2025 |
 Will "Lilo & Stitch" Rotten Tomatoes score be less than 80?Yes | buy | 10.36 | $0.965 | $10 | May 22, 2025 |
 Another US debt downgrade in 2025?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | May 22, 2025 |