Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.290 | $10 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 294.12 |
| $0.034 |
| $10 |
| Jul 7, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.067 | $1 | May 30, 2026 |
 US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31?No | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | May 30, 2026 |
 Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31?Yes | buy | 176.52 | $0.028 | $5 | May 30, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 153.85 | $0.013 | $2 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 156.25 | $0.032 | $5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 11, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.270 | $0.61 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela on January 10?Yes | buy | 55.34 | $0.018 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 9?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 8?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.010 | $0.14 | Jan 7, 2026 |
 Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.010 | $1 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?No | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 9?No | buy | 255.37 | $0.012 | $3.04 | Jan 6, 2026 |
 US forces in Venezuela by November 30?Yes | buy | 203.58 | $0.049 | $10 | Nov 13, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $135,000 in November?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in November?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 in November?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.046 | $1 | Nov 6, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2025?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in November?No | buy | 55.56 | $0.018 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Ahmed Al Shara in November?No | buy | 59.88 | $0.017 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in November?Yes | buy | 744.97 | $0.013 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in November?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Pedro Sánchez be the next leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom be the next leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 227.5 | $0.009 | $2 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 US forces in Venezuela by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.200 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| US forces in Venezuela by October 31?Yes | buy | 610.1 | $0.033 | $20 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.035 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.200 | $20 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Stroke" during his announcement on September 2?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his announcement on September 2?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | Sep 2, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by August 31?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will JD Vance say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during remarks in Wisconsin on August 28?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.180 | $10 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 101.5 | $0.010 | $1 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will OpenAi have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will Alibaba have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Aug 28, 2025 |
 Will Meta have the top AI model on August 31?Yes | buy | 504 | $0.002 | $1 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.050 | $2 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 222.22 | $0.009 | $2 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?Yes | buy | 16.95 | $0.059 | $1 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 150–174 times June 6–13?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.048 | $2 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 150 times June 6–13?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet 175–199 times June 6–13?Yes | buy | 33.9 | $0.059 | $2 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will Elon tweet less than 150 times June 6–13?Yes | buy | 27.03 | $0.037 | $1 | Jun 6, 2025 |