Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 21.31 | $0.065 | $1.39 | Mar 30, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 11.11 |
| $0.090 |
| $1 |
| Mar 29, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 10.2 | $0.098 | $1 | Mar 29, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.975 | $2 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.520 | $1 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.926 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by November 30?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by November 30?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?No | buy | 1.49 | $0.670 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.928 | $1 | Nov 12, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.995 | $2 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum reach $8000 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran by October 31?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.39 | $0.720 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Gemini 3.0 be released by October 15?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Eugenio Giani win Tuscany Regional Election?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Paul Biya win the Cameroon Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Dr Patrick Herminie win the 2025 Seychelles presidential election?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran by September 30?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Another Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?No | buy | 414.99 | $0.002 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 US strikes Yemen by September 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Dobropillia by September 30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.966 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Russia capture Stepanivka by September 30?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by September 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Ivanopillya by September 30?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Novopavlivka by September 30?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Rodynske by September 15?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy before October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.986 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2800 in August?No | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3800 in August?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| US strikes Yemen by August 31?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 US x Iran nuclear talks resume by August 31?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.810 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Syria by August 31?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.739 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by August 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Yemen by August 15?No | buy | 1.89 | $0.530 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Israel strikes Iran before September?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15?No | buy | 1.08 | $0.930 | $1 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?Yes | buy | 2.99 | $0.670 | $2 | Jul 21, 2025 |
 Google's Wiz acquisition blocked before July?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.981 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 DeepSeek R2 released before July?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |