Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US recession by end of 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.240 | $32.5 | -$87.5 |
 Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETDown | buy | 177.3 | $0.252 | $44.61 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 12.82 |
| $0.780 |
| $11.28 |
| +$1.28 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | No | 10.67 | $0.750 | $10.03 | +$2.03 |
 Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.880 | $8.23 | +$0.23 |
 OKX IPO in 2026? | No | 6.58 | $0.760 | $6.22 | +$1.22 |
 Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 32.26 | $0.310 | $5 | -$5 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 110 | $0.090 | $4.13 | -$5.78 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 | No | 20.41 | $0.490 | $3.47 | -$6.53 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 3.41 | $0.880 | $3.35 | +$0.35 |
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? | Yes | 20.27 | $0.740 | $3.14 | -$11.86 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 15.15 | $0.330 | $2.1 | -$2.9 |
 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | No | 10.82 | $0.924 | $0.71 | -$9.29 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 23.07 | $0.550 | $0.61 | -$12.08 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 37.04 | $0.270 | $0.11 | -$9.89 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.160 | $0.09 | -$9.91 |
| sell |
| 4K |
| $0.202 |
| $809.95 |
| Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETUp | sell | 48.07 | $0.610 | $29.34 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ETUp | buy | 47.36 | $0.410 | $19.41 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETUp | sell | 39.41 | $0.461 | $18.17 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETUp | buy | 38.83 | $0.409 | $15.88 | Mar 13, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETDown | buy | 109.96 | $0.029 | $3.22 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETDown | buy | 9.8 | $0.279 | $2.73 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETUp | sell | 17.67 | $0.341 | $6.03 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ETUp | buy | 17.49 | $0.280 | $4.9 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETDown | sell | 18.64 | $0.120 | $2.24 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETUp | sell | 19.7 | $0.590 | $11.62 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETUp | buy | 19.39 | $0.500 | $9.69 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETDown | buy | 19.39 | $0.500 | $9.69 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETDown | sell | 3.3 | $0.320 | $1.06 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETDown | buy | 3.27 | $0.299 | $0.98 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETUp | sell | 10.04 | $0.621 | $6.23 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETUp | buy | 9.89 | $0.490 | $4.84 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETUp | sell | 1.61 | $0.760 | $1.22 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETUp | buy | 1.59 | $0.610 | $0.97 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ETDown | buy | 7.14 | $0.139 | $0.99 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETUp | sell | 5.74 | $0.780 | $4.48 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ETUp | buy | 11.31 | $0.429 | $4.85 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ETUp | buy | 6.63 | $0.740 | $4.91 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETUp | buy | 40.97 | $0.240 | $9.83 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETUp | buy | 9.32 | $0.520 | $4.84 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETUp | buy | 12.17 | $0.399 | $4.86 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETDown | sell | 8.96 | $0.590 | $5.29 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETDown | buy | 8.83 | $0.549 | $4.85 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETUp | buy | 1.38 | $0.710 | $0.98 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?No | sell | 30.03 | $0.917 | $27.54 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?No | buy | 1.25K | $0.020 | $25 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETDown | buy | 58.61 | $0.333 | $19.51 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETUp | sell | 54.82 | $0.588 | $32.25 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETUp | buy | 54.08 | $0.360 | $19.47 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETUp | sell | 58.08 | $0.456 | $26.46 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETUp | buy | 57.34 | $0.340 | $19.5 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETDown | buy | 93.93 | $0.210 | $19.72 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETUp | sell | 37.15 | $0.600 | $22.29 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETUp | buy | 36.57 | $0.530 | $19.38 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:00PM-10:15PM ETDown | buy | 42.14 | $0.460 | $19.38 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 9:45PM-10:00PM ETUp | buy | 69.26 | $0.560 | $38.79 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ETDown | sell | 20 | $0.054 | $1.09 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ETUp | buy | 40.97 | $0.240 | $9.83 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETUp | sell | 42.8 | $0.560 | $23.98 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:45AM-9:00AM ETUp | buy | 42.14 | $0.460 | $19.38 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETUp | sell | 94.5 | $0.050 | $4.69 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETUp | sell | 189.01 | $0.130 | $24.57 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ETUp | buy | 225.57 | $0.430 | $97 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETUp | buy | 184.92 | $0.631 | $116.75 | Feb 14, 2026 |