Analytics
Allow Google Analytics cookies to measure visits, navigation, completed signups and checkout starts on our website and app? Analytics identifiers last up to 180 days. Account details, searches, wallet addresses and payment details are excluded. Your choice is optional and you can change it anytime.
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | Yes | 25 | $0.120 | $1.14 | -$1.86 |
 China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.035 | $0.7 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 13.33 |
| $0.150 |
| $0.95 |
| -$1.05 |
 Iran Nuke before 2027? | Yes | 18.18 | $0.110 | $0.95 | -$1.05 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 20.22 | $0.090 | $0.8 | -$1.02 |
 China x Japan military clash before 2027? | Yes | 13.33 | $0.150 | $0.73 | -$1.27 |
 Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027? | Yes | 26.32 | $0.038 | $0.71 | -$0.29 |
 Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.070 | $0.44 | -$0.56 |
 US takes Panama Canal before 2027? | Yes | 9.09 | $0.110 | $0.37 | -$0.63 |
| sell |
| 6.25 |
| $0.650 |
| $4.06 |
| Jul 30, 2026 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes | sell | 11.11 | $0.080 | $0.89 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.090 | $0.18 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 125 | $0.007 | $0.88 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 5.0% or higher before 2027?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?Yes | buy | 20.41 | $0.049 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US x Denmark Military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.120 | $3 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 13.33 | $0.150 | $2 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.090 | $2 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Gold close between $3900 and $4000 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 8.47 | $0.118 | $1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Brazilian president Lula announce re-election run by December 31?Yes | sell | 3.12 | $0.999 | $3.12 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Chelsea win on 2025-09-27?Yes | buy | 2.1 | $0.520 | $1.09 | Sep 26, 2025 |
| Will Gold close between $3600 and $3700 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 25.16 | $0.040 | $1 | Sep 25, 2025 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2PM ETUp | sell | 1.35 | $0.999 | $1.35 | Sep 9, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 2PM ETUp | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Sep 9, 2025 |
 Will Manchester City win on 2025-08-31?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Aug 31, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.070 | $0.7 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Will Chelsea win on 2025-08-30?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Will Gold close between $3500 and $3600 at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Aug 29, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11AM ETDown | sell | 2.45 | $0.990 | $2.43 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 28, 11AM ETDown | buy | 2.45 | $0.910 | $2.23 | Aug 28, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 11AM ETUp | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Aug 25, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by September meeting?No | sell | 1 | $0.140 | $0.14 | Aug 22, 2025 |
| Fed rate cut by September meeting?No | sell | 0.75 | $0.370 | $0.28 | Aug 22, 2025 |
 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?Yes | sell | 0.55 | $0.240 | $0.13 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Fed rate cut by September meeting?No | sell | 0.25 | $0.380 | $0.1 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Will Brazilian president Lula announce re-election run by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Fed rate cut by September meeting?No | sell | 0.5 | $0.320 | $0.16 | Aug 21, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?Down | sell | 0.5 | $0.130 | $0.07 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?Down | sell | 0.5 | $0.110 | $0.06 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Fed rate cut by September meeting?No | sell | 0.5 | $0.280 | $0.14 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?Up | sell | 0.38 | $0.250 | $0.1 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?Up | sell | 0.37 | $0.300 | $0.11 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?Up | sell | 0.25 | $0.300 | $0.08 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?Up | sell | 0.15 | $0.510 | $0.08 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?Down | sell | 0.29 | $0.470 | $0.14 | Aug 20, 2025 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?Down | sell | 0.43 | $0.500 | $0.22 | Aug 20, 2025 |