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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 111.11 | $0.010 | $1.11 | Feb 23, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 128.32 |
| $0.009 |
| $1.19 |
| Feb 23, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.980 | $3 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 23, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 128.32 | $0.023 | $3 | Feb 22, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?No | buy | 5.13 | $0.974 | $5 | Feb 22, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.027 | $3 | Feb 22, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?No | sell | 8.33 | $0.999 | $8.32 | Feb 2, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?No | buy | 3.05 | $0.983 | $3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
US strikes Iran by February 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 166.67 | $0.018 | $3 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 2.06 | $0.991 | $2.04 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 50.4 | $0.008 | $0.4 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.9 | $0.220 | $2.62 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?Yes | sell | 18.18 | $0.730 | $13.27 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?No | sell | 21.27 | $0.250 | $5.32 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?No | buy | 8.33 | $0.600 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.420 | $5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?No | buy | 21.28 | $0.470 | $10 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 2.03 | $0.999 | $2.03 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 2.09 | $0.983 | $2.05 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 40.4 | $0.012 | $0.5 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?No | sell | 2.11 | $0.998 | $2.11 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?Yes | sell | 32.78 | $0.001 | $0.03 | Feb 2, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 2.07 | $0.967 | $2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 3, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 50.41 | $0.040 | $2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 2.1 | $0.954 | $2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 2, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 40.4 | $0.050 | $2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.944 | $2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 32.79 | $0.061 | $2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)?No | buy | 2.03 | $0.985 | $2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran in January 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 87.45 | $0.023 | $2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 99.98 | $0.020 | $2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Solana Up or Down - January 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 2.02 | $0.990 | $2 | Jan 30, 2026 |
Solana Up or Down - January 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | sell | 21.04 | $0.970 | $20.41 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Solana Up or Down - January 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETUp | sell | 46.98 | $0.020 | $0.94 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETUp | sell | 4.58 | $0.030 | $0.14 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | sell | 4.1 | $0.950 | $3.89 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Solana Up or Down - January 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 21.98 | $0.045 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Solana Up or Down - January 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 24.98 | $0.040 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Solana Up or Down - January 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 21.03 | $0.950 | $19.98 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 5.5 | $0.180 | $0.99 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Ethereum Up or Down - January 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 2.31 | $0.820 | $1.9 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETUp | buy | 4.51 | $0.430 | $1.94 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 1:45PM-2:00PM ETDown | buy | 4.04 | $0.480 | $1.94 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 31, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 17.86 | $0.056 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 30, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 23.81 | $0.042 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will the US next strike Iran on January 29, 2026 (ET)?Yes | buy | 60.29 | $0.017 | $1 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will Kyle Newacheck - Happy Gilmore 2 win Best Director of a Movie for Television at the 78th DGA Awards?Yes | sell | 7.14 | $0.010 | $0.07 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will Scott Derrickson - The Gorge win Best Director of a Movie for Television at the 78th DGA Awards?Yes | sell | 9.09 | $0.030 | $0.27 | Jan 29, 2026 |
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | sell | 76.92 | $0.008 | $0.62 | Jan 29, 2026 |