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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | No | 28.54 | $0.035 | $1.37 | +$0.37 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 50 |
| $0.100 |
| $1.13 |
| -$3.88 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 111.11 | $0.009 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
| Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 166.67 | $0.006 | $0.83 | -$0.17 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 81.85 | $0.012 | $0.53 | -$0.47 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 147.12 | $0.007 | $0.51 | -$0.49 |
| Will Dune: Messiah be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 333.33 | $0.003 | $0.5 | -$0.5 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 113.9 | $0.009 | $0.4 | -$0.6 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 118.97 | $0.008 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 62.5 | $0.016 | $0.22 | -$0.78 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 24.39 | $0.041 | $0.11 | -$0.89 |
 Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.007 | $0.07 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 166.67 |
| $0.006 |
| $1 |
| 1d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 8?Yes | buy | 269.91 | $0.004 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.038 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | 1d ago |
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.005 | $1 | 1d ago |
| Israel closes its airspace by September 30?No | buy | 28.54 | $0.035 | $1 | 1d ago |
 Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Yes | sell | 16.63 | $0.582 | $9.68 | 1d ago |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on July 29?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.020 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 29?Down | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 5.88 | $0.570 | $3.35 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Team Liquid win the EWC Dota 2 TournamentYes | buy | 43.7 | $0.023 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.016 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - Esports World Cup SurvivalVirtus.pro | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 1.75K | $0.003 | $5.25 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?Yes | sell | 44.26 | $0.026 | $1.15 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in April?Yes | buy | 40.91 | $0.021 | $0.86 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in April?Yes | buy | 40.91 | $0.021 | $0.86 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 142.85 | $0.008 | $1.14 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.75% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 118.97 | $0.008 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 81.85 | $0.012 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?Yes | buy | 147.12 | $0.007 | $1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the April Meeting?Yes | buy | 199.17 | $0.005 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?Yes | buy | 96.67 | $0.010 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.680 | $4 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 1?Down | sell | 27.12 | $0.820 | $22.24 | Apr 6, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?Yes | buy | 81.91 | $0.010 | $0.86 | Apr 2, 2026 |
| Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on April 1?Down | buy | 26.61 | $0.540 | $14.37 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 1?Yes | buy | 900.1 | $0.001 | $0.9 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on April 1?Down | buy | 34.38 | $0.025 | $0.86 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Apr 1, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 19°C on April 1?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.012 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Bill Gates be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Michael Jackson be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.043 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30?No | buy | 33.9 | $0.029 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 March 30-April 5?Yes | buy | 28.68 | $0.030 | $0.86 | Mar 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 31?Yes | buy | 7.75 | $0.123 | $0.95 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.024 | $1 | Mar 31, 2026 |