Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30–$2.40 in August? | No | 25.64 | $0.780 | $21.92 | +$1.92 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 10 to September 12, 2026?No | buy | 13.89 | $0.720 | $10 | 1d ago |
|
| No |
| 13.89 |
| $0.720 |
| $10 |
| $0 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 20.41 | $0.490 | $9.49 | -$0.51 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026? | No | 13.89 | $0.720 | $8.96 | -$1.04 |
 Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 13.21 | $0.610 | $8.65 | +$0.59 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 9.9 | $0.670 | $7.08 | +$0.45 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 12.75 | $0.440 | $6.44 | +$0.83 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | No | 6 | $0.790 | $5.61 | +$0.87 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026? | No | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5.22 | +$0.22 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 8.65 | $0.570 | $4.71 | -$0.22 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 9.17 | $0.530 | $4.17 | -$0.69 |
 Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 7 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.250 | $3 | -$7 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4 | $0.510 | $1.82 | -$0.22 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 3.25 | $0.400 | $1.61 | +$0.31 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 3.56 | $0.550 | $1.59 | -$0.37 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.200 | $1.45 | -$0.55 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | Yes | 2.08 | $0.530 | $1.18 | +$0.08 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | Yes | 10.25 | $0.240 | $0.53 | -$1.93 |
| buy |
| 13.89 |
| $0.720 |
| $10 |
| 1d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | 1d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.530 | $1.1 | 2d ago |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 Week of September 7 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | 2d ago |
 Will the August 2026 unemployment rate be 4.1%?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | 5d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.510 | $2.04 | 6d ago |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30–$2.40 in August?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | 9d ago |
| Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.30–$2.40 in August?No | buy | 12.82 | $0.780 | $10 | 9d ago |
 Will the US add between 0 and 50k jobs in August?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | 9d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 31 to September 2, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | 10d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | 12d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | 17d ago |
 Will Trump say "Boom" or "Booming" this week?No | buy | 32.26 | $0.310 | $10 | 17d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.260 | $10 | 18d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | 20d ago |
 Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 52.0 and 54.9 in August?No | buy | 14.49 | $0.690 | $10 | 20d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | 21d ago |
 Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in August?No | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | 21d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.220 | $10 | 28d ago |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?No | buy | 21.98 | $0.455 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?No | buy | 25.64 | $0.390 | $10 | Aug 6, 2026 |
| Will the July 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 3.45 | $0.330 | $1.14 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.460 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?No | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.25 | $0.320 | $1.36 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.220 | $2.75 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" during cabinet meeting?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.240 | $1.5 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Another pandemic before GTA VI?No | buy | 19.38 | $0.500 | $9.69 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?No | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?No | buy | 3 | $0.370 | $1.11 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?No | buy | 5.1 | $0.500 | $2.55 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.6 | $0.300 | $3.78 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.520 | $1.59 | Jul 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Military" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 3.04 | $0.583 | $1.77 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Motor City" during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.460 | $1.64 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 3.06 | $0.500 | $1.53 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Save America" during Michigan remarks?Yes | buy | 11.14 | $0.760 | $8.47 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Golf" or "Golfer" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.690 | $4.83 | Jul 25, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?Yes | buy | 20.7 | $0.483 | $10 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Sleepy" during White House Correspondents Dinner?No | buy | 9 | $0.490 | $4.41 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | buy | 6.57 | $0.760 | $4.99 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Yes | buy | 13.18 | $0.720 | $9.49 | Jul 23, 2026 |