Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Confirmed US Screwworm case in Livestock beyond Texas by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.430 | $1.75 | -$0.4 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | sell | 4.16 | $0.570 | $2.37 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 2.07 |
| $0.262 |
| $1.64 |
| +$1.09 |
 Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | No | 3.26 | $0.310 | $1.48 | +$0.47 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027? | No | 0.54 | $0.953 | $0.53 | +$0.02 |
 Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026? | Yes | 5.88 | $0.170 | $0.41 | -$0.59 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 13.03 | $0.042 | $0.4 | -$0.15 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 0.26 | $0.545 | $0.24 | +$0.1 |
 Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by December 31? | Yes | 0.31 | $0.380 | $0.09 | -$0.03 |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 8.5 | $0.137 | $0 | -$1.16 |
| sell |
| 15.39 |
| $0.080 |
| $1.23 |
| Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.043 | $0.86 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | sell | 0.42 | $0.590 | $0.25 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes | sell | 7.42 | $0.430 | $3.19 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.058 | $1.16 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 1.04 | $0.992 | $1.03 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No | sell | 1.16 | $0.973 | $1.13 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | sell | 2.48 | $0.420 | $1.04 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 1.25% or lower before 2027?No | sell | 1.96 | $0.941 | $1.84 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.800 | $4 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.600 | $3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Christopher Taylor be the Democratic nominee for the Ann Arbor Mayoral Election?No | sell | 5 | $0.360 | $1.8 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by June 30?No | sell | 6.21 | $0.991 | $6.15 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.26 | $0.840 | $6.1 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 7.44 | $0.840 | $6.25 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?No | sell | 7.63 | $0.830 | $6.33 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.68 | $0.750 | $5.76 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.73 | $0.950 | $7.34 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Yes | sell | 7.83 | $0.900 | $7.05 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.93 | $0.760 | $6.03 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 7.94 | $0.761 | $6.04 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Tom Begich win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Yes | sell | 8.22 | $0.300 | $2.47 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | sell | 8.5 | $0.730 | $6.21 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 8.75 | $0.680 | $5.95 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.610 | $3.05 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 9.97 | $0.420 | $4.19 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes | sell | 9.98 | $0.535 | $5.34 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the Philippine Senate convict Sara Duterte?No | sell | 10 | $0.450 | $4.5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TX-23 House seat?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.270 | $2.7 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the Republicans win the Georgia governor race in 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.490 | $4.9 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the next UK election be called by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.260 | $2.6 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Ciro Gomes win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.590 | $5.9 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.11 | $0.550 | $6.66 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Yes | sell | 6.74 | $0.440 | $2.97 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by December 31?No | sell | 14.57 | $0.290 | $4.23 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Stavky by July 31?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.100 | $1.5 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.430 | $6.45 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | sell | 15 | $0.291 | $4.36 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Russia enter Myrne by July 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 19.29 | $0.160 | $3.09 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | sell | 22.7 | $0.260 | $5.9 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 10.78 | $0.068 | $0.73 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 24.56 | $0.204 | $5.01 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on July 3?Yes | sell | 24.77 | $0.065 | $1.61 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Will Diana DeGette be the Democratic nominee for CO-01?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.230 | $6.39 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 15?Yes | sell | 33.83 | $0.180 | $6.09 | Jun 30, 2026 |
 No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 55 | $0.036 | $1.98 | Jun 30, 2026 |
| Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | sell | 12.87 | $0.060 | $0.77 | Jun 30, 2026 |