Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 750 | $0.320 | $240 | Aug 15, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 42.83 |
| $0.467 |
| $20 |
| Jul 27, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut by December meeting?No | buy | 4.4 | $0.190 | $0.84 | Jul 27, 2025 |
 US recession in 2025?No | sell | 1.36K | $0.820 | $1.12K | Jul 27, 2025 |
 Will Severance win the Emmy for Outstanding Drama Series?No | buy | 100 | $0.400 | $40 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?No | buy | 36.36 | $0.550 | $20 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?No | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?No | buy | 330.05 | $0.303 | $100 | Jul 26, 2025 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | sell | 500 | $0.140 | $70 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Fed rate cut by December meeting?No | buy | 214.44 | $0.180 | $38.6 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.500 | $100 | Jul 19, 2025 |
| US recession in 2025?No | buy | 1.36K | $0.830 | $1.13K | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Another Israel strike on Yemen in July?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.580 | $58 | Jul 18, 2025 |
| Will The Penguin win the Emmy for Outstanding Limited or Anthology Series?Yes | buy | 114 | $0.090 | $10.26 | Jul 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | sell | 550 | $0.820 | $451 | Jul 17, 2025 |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?No | buy | 550 | $0.814 | $447.95 | Jul 16, 2025 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.195 | $97.5 | Jul 16, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 28.21 | $0.709 | $20 | Jul 16, 2025 |