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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.18 | $0.500 | $7.85 | +$3.26 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.760 | $8 | 2d ago |
|
| No |
| 10.53 |
| $0.760 |
| $6.16 |
| -$1.84 |
 Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | Yes | 11 | $0.470 | $6.05 | +$0.88 |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | No | 10.35 | $0.480 | $5.85 | +$0.88 |
 Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? | Yes | 6.08 | $0.800 | $5.44 | +$0.58 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 6 | $0.790 | $5.16 | +$0.42 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 8.14 | $0.580 | $4.03 | -$0.69 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 8 | $0.440 | $3.96 | +$0.44 |
 Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.200 | $0.91 | -$0.34 |
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? | Yes | 6 | $0.220 | $0.39 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 34.78 |
| $0.230 |
| $8 |
| 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 28 to September 4, 2026?No | buy | 1.9 | $0.620 | $1.18 | 6d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 25 to September 1, 2026?No | buy | 11.24 | $0.712 | $8 | 11d ago |
 Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by September 4, 2026?No | buy | 25.81 | $0.310 | $8 | 11d ago |
 Will Trump say "China" or "Chinese" during remarks at NASA?No | buy | 19.05 | $0.420 | $8 | 12d ago |
 Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 27?Down | buy | 16.67 | $0.480 | $8 | 12d ago |
| Will Trump say "Russia" or "Russian" during remarks at NASA?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.300 | $8 | 13d ago |
 Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?No | buy | 18.56 | $0.431 | $8 | 15d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 22 to August 24, 2026?No | buy | 10.67 | $0.750 | $8 | 18d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 20 to August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 26.67 | $0.300 | $8 | 19d ago |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $62 Week of August 17 2026?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.760 | $8 | 23d ago |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?No | buy | 10.67 | $0.750 | $8 | 23d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?Yes | buy | 38.1 | $0.210 | $8 | 26d ago |
 Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.320 | $8 | 27d ago |
 S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on August 11?No | buy | 32 | $0.250 | $8 | 29d ago |
 Will annual inflation be 3.3% in July?Yes | buy | 21.05 | $0.380 | $8 | 29d ago |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 11.59 | $0.690 | $8 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?No | buy | 18.6 | $0.430 | $8 | Aug 8, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 8 to August 10, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.480 | $8 | Aug 8, 2026 |
 Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.440 | $8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $720 Week of August 3 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.800 | $8 | Aug 4, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?No | buy | 5.74 | $0.770 | $4.42 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.730 | $5.21 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.280 | $8 | Aug 2, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.560 | $8 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 17.78 | $0.450 | $8 | Aug 2, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?Yes | buy | 25.81 | $0.310 | $8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?No | buy | 10.53 | $0.760 | $8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?Yes | buy | 12.31 | $0.650 | $8 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 15.8 | $0.510 | $8.06 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?No | buy | 2.96 | $0.670 | $1.98 | Aug 1, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.420 | $1.28 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?No | buy | 3.75 | $0.480 | $1.8 | Jul 31, 2026 |
| New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?No | buy | 15.3 | $0.500 | $7.65 | Jul 30, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 4.33 | $0.510 | $2.21 | Jul 29, 2026 |
| Will US GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?No | buy | 3.56 | $0.570 | $2.03 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?No | buy | 9 | $0.750 | $6.75 | Jul 28, 2026 |
 Will SoFi (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 3.05 | $0.650 | $1.98 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?No | buy | 3.04 | $0.601 | $1.83 | Jul 27, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?No | buy | 13 | $0.410 | $5.33 | Jul 26, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 9.18 | $0.500 | $4.59 | Jul 26, 2026 |
 Will Yum Brands (YUM) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 4.84 | $0.380 | $1.84 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Warsh say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during July Press Conference?No | buy | 29.63 | $0.270 | $8 | Jul 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner?Yes | buy | 13.42 | $0.260 | $3.49 | Jul 24, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.680 | $4.76 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 Microsoft (MSFT) Q4 Azure revenue growth (constant currency) 38%-40%?Yes | buy | 11.2 | $0.300 | $3.36 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?Yes | buy | 6.59 | $0.750 | $4.94 | Jul 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?No | buy | 11.16 | $0.700 | $7.81 | Jul 22, 2026 |
 Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $256 Week of July 20 2026?Yes | buy | 6.56 | $0.250 | $1.64 | Jul 22, 2026 |