Analytics
Rank, Total PnL and Observed Volume retain the selected Observed 80K snapshot. Positions, chart and recent trades are independent Polymarket observations. Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 40 | $0.250 | $31.8 | +$21.8 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 38.85 |
| $0.450 |
| $11.46 |
| -$6.02 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 11.84 | $0.610 | $5.74 | -$1.48 |
| buy |
| 13.16 |
| $0.076 |
| $1 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?Yes | buy | 63.55 | $0.016 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 12.26 | $0.380 | $4.66 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 55.32 | $0.940 | $52 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Jun 9, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 22.62 | $0.670 | $15.16 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 47.09 | $0.951 | $44.78 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?No | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 30.51 | $0.570 | $17.39 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 51.11 | $0.450 | $23 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | sell | 40.7 | $0.555 | $22.58 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 30.51 | $0.580 | $17.7 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 40.7 | $0.570 | $23.2 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 17.84 | $0.974 | $17.38 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No | sell | 65.78 | $0.961 | $63.21 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 11.84 | $0.610 | $7.22 | May 30, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 29.59 | $0.110 | $3.25 | May 30, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.023 | $2.29 | May 30, 2026 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | sell | 1.1 | $0.937 | $1.03 | May 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 20.41 | $0.003 | $0.06 | May 30, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.036 | $0.72 | May 30, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 29.59 | $0.740 | $21.9 | May 29, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | sell | 10.66 | $0.994 | $10.6 | May 20, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by May 31?Yes | buy | 42.71 | $0.290 | $12.39 | May 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 65 | $0.620 | $40.3 | May 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 17.84 | $0.730 | $13.02 | May 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 48.23 | $0.270 | $13.02 | May 10, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.913 | $1.01 | May 7, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 29 | $0.810 | $23.49 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.230 | $2.3 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 65 | $0.520 | $33.8 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?No | buy | 65.79 | $0.760 | $50 | Apr 30, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 17.54 | $0.580 | $10.17 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 110.28 | $0.991 | $109.29 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 2.47 | $0.550 | $1.36 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | sell | 3.47 | $0.390 | $1.35 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 110.29 | $0.910 | $100.36 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | sell | 101.17 | $0.992 | $100.36 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 91.1 | $0.966 | $88 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | sell | 110 | $0.800 | $88 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 10.07 | $0.960 | $9.67 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.41 | $0.840 | $8.74 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 60 | $0.860 | $51.6 | Apr 24, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?No | buy | 50 | $0.860 | $43 | Apr 24, 2026 |