Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 24.8K | $0.002 | $49.6 | Mar 18, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 16.67K |
| $0.003 |
| $50 |
| Mar 18, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 2.12K | $0.046 | $96.86 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?No | buy | 11.28K | $0.009 | $100 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 2.2K | $0.046 | $100 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 633.79 | $0.121 | $76.86 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 402.82 | $0.274 | $110.51 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.37K | $0.035 | $83.35 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 795.01 | $0.122 | $96.78 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 231.48 | $0.260 | $60.07 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January?Yes | sell | 684 | $0.164 | $111.85 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 769.23 | $0.071 | $54.62 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 587.74 | $0.300 | $176.32 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 14 | $0.121 | $1.69 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.34K | $0.069 | $92.59 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | sell | 624.1 | $0.380 | $237.09 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of January?Yes | sell | 1.44K | $0.009 | $12.97 | Jan 29, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.37K | $0.014 | $33 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.34K | $0.037 | $50 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 795.02 | $0.063 | $50 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 402.83 | $0.124 | $50 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 231.48 | $0.216 | $50 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 35.48 | $0.310 | $11 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 76.74 | $0.430 | $33 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.460 | $50 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.280 | $50 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 110.07 | $0.454 | $50 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.280 | $50 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 219.91 | $0.455 | $100 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 769.23 | $0.065 | $50 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 647.8 | $0.077 | $50 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 178.99 | $0.279 | $50 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.460 | $50 | Jan 28, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 8.33K | $0.006 | $50 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 278.1 | $0.360 | $100 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?Yes | buy | 201.12 | $0.497 | $100 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.63K | $0.006 | $15.77 | Jan 27, 2026 |
 Will Silver (SI) settle at <$70 in January?Yes | sell | 241.4 | $0.001 | $0.24 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$72.5 in January?Yes | sell | 323.58 | $0.001 | $0.32 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?Yes | sell | 829.23 | $0.050 | $41.56 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January?Yes | sell | 227.27 | $0.563 | $127.95 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes | sell | 263.15 | $0.185 | $48.81 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Silver (SI) settle over $110 on the final trading day of January 2026?Yes | sell | 77.68 | $0.604 | $46.89 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Yes | sell | 622.66 | $0.999 | $622.04 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 996.02 | $0.100 | $99.52 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ETDown | buy | 186.32 | $0.520 | $96.89 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 22, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETUp | buy | 226.5 | $0.260 | $58.89 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 116.02 | $0.172 | $20 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?Yes | buy | 933.26 | $0.015 | $14 | Jan 23, 2026 |