Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 156.14 | $0.920 | $143.65 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 182.01 |
| $0.957 |
| $174.18 |
| Dec 14, 2025 |
 Israel strikes Iran before 2026?No | sell | 187.54 | $0.972 | $182.29 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 TikTok sale announced in 2025?No | sell | 266.46 | $0.957 | $255 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | sell | 388.43 | $0.966 | $375.22 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?No | sell | 265.98 | $0.986 | $262.26 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 86.96 | $0.160 | $13.91 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?No | sell | 188.06 | $0.991 | $186.37 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | sell | 131.57 | $0.730 | $96.05 | Dec 14, 2025 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?No | sell | 105.88 | $0.992 | $105.03 | Dec 14, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 198.9 | $0.968 | $192.54 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?No | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?No | buy | 131.58 | $0.760 | $100 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.230 | $20 | Dec 11, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 195.12 | $0.041 | $8 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?No | sell | 8 | $0.986 | $7.89 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.060 | $4.5 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.280 | $20 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?No | sell | 35.29 | $0.981 | $34.62 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?No | buy | 93.72 | $0.964 | $90.35 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?Yes | buy | 95.42 | $0.493 | $47 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will DraftKings launch a prediction market in 2025?No | buy | 56.6 | $0.530 | $30 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 9.25 | $0.370 | $3.42 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?No | buy | 189.53 | $0.950 | $180.05 | Dec 3, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 80.33 | $0.780 | $62.66 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | sell | 61.53 | $0.150 | $9.23 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 48.14 | $0.570 | $27.44 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | sell | 48.14 | $0.540 | $26 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | buy | 75.8 | $0.860 | $65.19 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | sell | 43.95 | $0.989 | $43.47 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | sell | 88.3 | $0.246 | $21.72 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 56.25 | $0.840 | $47.25 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will 'Avatar: Fire and Ash' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?Yes | buy | 96.15 | $0.104 | $10 | Nov 27, 2025 |
 Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?Yes | sell | 50.92 | $0.973 | $49.55 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?Yes | sell | 208.33 | $0.029 | $6.07 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Gaza in 2025?Yes | sell | 56.52 | $0.029 | $1.64 | Nov 25, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 123.43 | $0.810 | $99.98 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?No | sell | 102.33 | $0.977 | $99.98 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 16.92 | $0.630 | $10.66 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 61.54 | $0.260 | $16 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?Yes | buy | 79.37 | $0.630 | $50 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?No | sell | 48.21 | $0.740 | $35.68 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | sell | 58.55 | $0.700 | $40.98 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 58.55 | $0.620 | $36.3 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.024 | $5 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?Yes | sell | 43.94 | $0.940 | $41.3 | Nov 24, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?No | buy | 35.98 | $0.630 | $22.67 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?No | sell | 88.29 | $0.256 | $22.6 | Nov 24, 2025 |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations in 2025?No | buy | 204.67 | $0.972 | $199 | Nov 23, 2025 |