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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 495.44K | $0.001 | $495.44 | Jun 17, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 110.73K |
| $0.013 |
| $1.49K |
| Jun 16, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 14.32K | $0.146 | $2.09K | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 370.37 | $0.050 | $18.52 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No | sell | 344.82 | $0.031 | $10.76 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 13.03K | $0.060 | $782.15 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 500 | $0.352 | $176.1 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 71 | $0.368 | $26.12 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | sell | 19.23 | $0.140 | $2.69 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | sell | 859.29 | $0.027 | $23.19 | Jun 15, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. lift direct Iran OFAC sanctions by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 84 | $0.377 | $31.69 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | sell | 1.43K | $0.302 | $432.96 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?No | sell | 999.99 | $0.583 | $582.57 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 1.77K | $0.339 | $600.65 | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?No | buy | 509.21 | $0.560 | $285 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | sell | 977.54 | $0.906 | $885.65 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.9K | $0.630 | $2.46K | Jun 14, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5.28K | $0.379 | $2K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 33.22 | $0.350 | $11.63 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 5.78K | $0.768 | $4.44K | Jun 14, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | sell | 6.58K | $0.674 | $4.44K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 10.51K | $0.770 | $8.1K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No | sell | 6.21K | $0.925 | $5.75K | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 637.59 | $0.762 | $485.6 | Jun 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 5K | $0.370 | $1.85K | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 3.59K | $0.757 | $2.72K | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No | buy | 3.55K | $0.650 | $2.31K | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No | sell | 3.34K | $0.993 | $3.32K | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14No | buy | 3.89K | $0.771 | $3K | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?No | buy | 651.61 | $0.460 | $300 | Jun 13, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No | buy | 5.13K | $0.900 | $4.62K | Jun 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 933.49 | $0.461 | $430.21 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No | buy | 602.8 | $0.797 | $480.21 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 17?No | buy | 520.57 | $0.635 | $330.6 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.43K | $0.700 | $1K | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No | buy | 1.08K | $0.923 | $1K | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No | sell | 2.97K | $0.940 | $2.79K | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?No | sell | 3.23K | $0.718 | $2.32K | Jun 12, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No | buy | 1.07K | $0.935 | $1K | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?No | buy | 1.56K | $0.640 | $1K | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.43K | $0.460 | $2.5K | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?No | buy | 2K | $0.368 | $735.12 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?No | buy | 3.12K | $0.890 | $2.77K | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?No | buy | 2.98K | $0.840 | $2.5K | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 500 | $0.710 | $355 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?No | buy | 2.83K | $0.890 | $2.52K | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?No | buy | 776.9 | $0.967 | $751.63 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?No | buy | 225.71 | $0.966 | $217.96 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 1.13K | $0.880 | $997.56 | Jun 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.3K | $0.496 | $645.68 | Jun 9, 2026 |