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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | sell | 13.1 | $0.960 | $12.58 | 18d ago |
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| sell |
| 14.5 |
| $0.981 |
| $14.22 |
| 18d ago |
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | sell | 14.25 | $0.998 | $14.22 | 18d ago |
China coup attempt before 2027?No | sell | 15 | $0.955 | $14.33 | 18d ago |
US defaults on debt by 2027?No | sell | 16 | $0.967 | $15.47 | 18d ago |
Fed abolished before 2027?No | sell | 17 | $0.941 | $16 | 18d ago |
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | sell | 17 | $0.986 | $16.76 | 18d ago |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.961 | $17.3 | 18d ago |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.962 | $17.32 | 18d ago |
US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 19 | $0.920 | $17.48 | 18d ago |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.980 | $17.64 | 18d ago |
Trump out as President before 2027?No | sell | 19 | $0.930 | $17.67 | 18d ago |
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | sell | 18 | $0.986 | $17.75 | 18d ago |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | sell | 19 | $0.951 | $18.07 | 18d ago |
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | sell | 19 | $0.976 | $18.54 | 18d ago |
EU dissolves before 2027?No | sell | 19 | $0.976 | $18.54 | 18d ago |
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | sell | 19 | $0.982 | $18.66 | 18d ago |
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy before 2027?No | buy | 7.6 | $0.956 | $7.27 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.959 | $17.26 | Feb 7, 2026 |
Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 19 | $0.850 | $16.15 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Xi Jinping out before 2027?No | buy | 19 | $0.920 | $17.48 | Feb 5, 2026 |
Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.988 | $17.78 | Feb 5, 2026 |
US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.740 | $14.06 | Feb 1, 2026 |
US civil war before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.904 | $16.27 | Feb 1, 2026 |
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 18 | $0.880 | $15.84 | Jan 30, 2026 |
EU dissolves before 2027?No | buy | 19 | $0.952 | $18.09 | Jan 28, 2026 |
China coup attempt before 2027?No | buy | 15 | $0.934 | $14.01 | Jan 25, 2026 |
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy before 2027?-kuQeNo | buy | 19 | $0.978 | $18.58 | Jan 24, 2026 |
Fed abolished before 2027?No | buy | 6.98 | $0.972 | $6.78 | Jan 21, 2026 |
Will Anthropic’s market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 18 | $0.992 | $17.86 | Jan 19, 2026 |
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 19 | $0.972 | $18.47 | Jan 17, 2026 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 18 | $0.920 | $16.56 | Jan 15, 2026 |
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?No | buy | 17 | $0.947 | $16.1 | Jan 14, 2026 |
US defaults on debt by 2027?No | buy | 16 | $0.979 | $15.66 | Jan 11, 2026 |
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?No | buy | 14.5 | $0.971 | $14.08 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 14 | $0.993 | $13.9 | Jan 9, 2026 |
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 14.5 | $0.992 | $14.38 | Jan 5, 2026 |
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?Yes | sell | 98 | $0.998 | $97.8 | Dec 31, 2025 |
Will Gold close at $3,200 or more at the end of 2025?Yes | buy | 112 | $0.999 | $111.89 | Dec 30, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 112 | $0.996 | $111.55 | Dec 28, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 109 | $0.998 | $108.78 | Dec 27, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | sell | 103 | $0.995 | $102.49 | Dec 24, 2025 |
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?No | buy | 108 | $0.996 | $107.57 | Dec 23, 2025 |
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | sell | 109 | $0.994 | $108.35 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 109 | $0.996 | $108.58 | Dec 21, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | sell | 107 | $0.993 | $106.25 | Dec 19, 2025 |
Xi Jinping out in 2025?No | buy | 108 | $0.995 | $107.46 | Dec 18, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 73 | $0.987 | $72.08 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | sell | 36 | $0.988 | $35.57 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 109 | $0.991 | $108.02 | Dec 15, 2025 |