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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase December 16-22?Yes | buy | 11.17 | $0.094 | $1.05 | Dec 22, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 205.27 |
| $0.137 |
| $28.04 |
| Dec 21, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 16-22?Yes | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Dec 21, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 16-22?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.140 | $3.78 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 16-22?Yes | buy | 133.2 | $0.140 | $18.68 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | sell | 36.42 | $0.220 | $8.01 | Dec 20, 2025 |
 U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?Yes | sell | 79.62 | $0.130 | $10.35 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 16-22?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.480 | $10 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Tax on Tips" while addressing the nation on December 17?No | buy | 14.29 | $0.420 | $6 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" while addressing the nation on December 17?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Inflation" while addressing the nation on December 17?No | buy | 15.38 | $0.130 | $2 | Dec 18, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" while addressing the nation on December 17?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Dec 18, 2025 |
 Will Lennar Corp (LEN) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will General Mills (GIS) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.048 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
 Will Micron Technology (MU) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 29.41 | $0.034 | $1 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 16-22?Yes | buy | 15.87 | $0.630 | $10 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Dec 15, 2025 |
| U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by December 31?Yes | buy | 24.07 | $0.415 | $10 | Dec 13, 2025 |
 Indiana Hoosiers vs. Kentucky WildcatsIndiana Hoosiers | buy | 50 | $0.400 | $20 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase December 9-15?Yes | buy | 15.63 | $0.640 | $10 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 36.43 | $0.210 | $7.65 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 42.1 | $0.180 | $7.58 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 42.11 | $0.190 | $8 | Dec 10, 2025 |
 Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | sell | 69.46 | $0.980 | $68.07 | Dec 10, 2025 |
| Will Artificial Intelligence be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?No | buy | 69.46 | $0.580 | $40.29 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | sell | 6 | $0.994 | $5.96 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | sell | 14.98 | $0.994 | $14.89 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | sell | 10.12 | $0.994 | $10.06 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | sell | 9 | $0.995 | $8.96 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.988 | $11.86 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 7.72 | $0.985 | $7.6 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 9.48 | $0.986 | $9.35 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| Will Andrej Babiš be the next Prime Minister of the Czech Republic after the elections?Yes | buy | 10.94 | $0.985 | $10.78 | Dec 7, 2025 |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?Yes | buy | 20.57 | $0.243 | $5 | Nov 25, 2025 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | sell | 37.03 | $0.940 | $34.81 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win by 0-10%?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.270 | $10 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 95.74 | $0.094 | $9 | Nov 4, 2025 |
 Rice vs. CharlotteRice | sell | 18.51 | $0.999 | $18.49 | Sep 19, 2025 |
| Rice vs. CharlotteRice | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Monaco win on 2025-09-18?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Blue Jays vs. RaysBlue Jays | buy | 9.09 | $0.550 | $5 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Padres vs. MetsPadres | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Bayer Leverkusen win on 2025-09-18?Yes | buy | 12.2 | $0.410 | $5 | Sep 18, 2025 |
| Rice vs. CharlotteRice | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2025-09-17?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.300 | $5 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will CA River Plate vs. SE Palmeiras end in a draw?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Sep 17, 2025 |
 Will Real Salt Lake vs. Los Angeles FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.270 | $5 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Rangers vs. AstrosRangers | buy | 8.93 | $0.560 | $5 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Mariners vs. RoyalsMariners | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Sep 17, 2025 |
| Padres vs. MetsPadres | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Sep 17, 2025 |