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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?No | sell | 25.59 | $0.994 | $25.44 | Sep 23, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during events with UK Prime Minister on September 18?No| buy |
| 11.11 |
| $0.900 |
| $10 |
| Sep 18, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the UK state banquet on September 17?No | buy | 51.17 | $0.981 | $50.2 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Jesus" during September?Yes | sell | 1.45 | $0.260 | $0.38 | Sep 16, 2025 |
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?No | buy | 17.07 | $0.656 | $11.2 | Sep 15, 2025 |
Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?No | buy | 8.52 | $0.704 | $6 | Sep 14, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Vietnam" or "Korea" during 9-11 memorial event?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence CrawfordCanelo | buy | 1.56 | $0.640 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Pentagon" 6+ times during 9-11 memorial event?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Jet Fuel" during 9-11 memorial event?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Manhattan" during 9-11 memorial event?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Al-Qaeda" during 9-11 memorial event?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will Trump say "War" during 9-11 memorial event?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Sep 11, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? (September 8-14)Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week? (September 8-14)Yes | buy | 1.25 | $0.800 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Jesus" during September?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Sep 8, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Jesus" during September?Yes | sell | 2.38 | $0.550 | $1.31 | Sep 8, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Jesus" during September?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Washington" or "DC" during Museum of the Bible speech on September 8?Yes | buy | 1.32 | $0.760 | $1 | Sep 7, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani say "New York" or "New Yorker" 12+ times during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.830 | $1.73 | Sep 5, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Trump" 5+ times during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?Yes | buy | 1.52 | $0.660 | $1 | Sep 5, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Socialist" or "Socialism" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | Sep 5, 2025 |
Will Bernie Sanders say "Racism" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?No | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Sep 5, 2025 |
Will Bernie Sanders say "Putin" during Fighting Oligarchy town hall on September 6?No | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Sep 5, 2025 |
Will anyone say or "Artificial Intelligence" during Apple launch event on September 9?Yes | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will anyone say "iPhone" 100+ times during Apple launch event on September 9?No | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?Yes | sell | 2.24 | $0.920 | $2.06 | Sep 4, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.960 | $1.71 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70-80 million views on week 1?Yes | buy | 2.25 | $0.890 | $2 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?No | buy | 1.78 | $0.561 | $1 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?No | sell | 2.27 | $0.530 | $1.2 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Sabrina Carpenter's 'Man's Best Friend' >375k first week sales?No | sell | 2.59 | $0.810 | $2.1 | Sep 3, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Venezuela" this week? (September 1 - 7)Yes | sell | 3.6 | $0.999 | $3.6 | Sep 2, 2025 |
Will Bernie Sanders say "Greed" 2+ times during "Fighting Oligarchy" speech on September 1?No | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Sep 1, 2025 |
Will MrBeast raise between $40m and $41m by midnight?No | sell | 1.46 | $0.999 | $1.46 | Sep 1, 2025 |
Will MrBeast raise between $40m and $41m by midnight?No | buy | 1.46 | $0.820 | $1.2 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will MrBeast raise between $40m and $41m by midnight?No | sell | 1.69 | $0.710 | $1.2 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will MrBeast raise between $40m and $41m by midnight?No | buy | 1.69 | $0.710 | $1.2 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will Trump say "NATO" during events with Polish president on September 3?Yes | sell | 1.39 | $0.870 | $1.21 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Venezuela" this week? (September 1 - 7)Yes | buy | 3.6 | $0.830 | $2.99 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will Trump say "NATO" during events with Polish president on September 3?Yes | buy | 1.4 | $0.880 | $1.23 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will The Life of a Showgirl’s first-week album sales be under 2500000?Yes | sell | 2.66 | $0.650 | $1.73 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?Yes | sell | 3.41 | $0.440 | $1.5 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.440 | $1 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during events with Polish president on September 3?No | buy | 1.59 | $0.630 | $1 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35-40 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30-35 million views on day 1?Yes | buy | 3.42 | $0.670 | $2.29 | Aug 31, 2025 |
Will MrBeast say Chocolate 3+ times during next video?No | sell | 2.53 | $0.990 | $2.5 | Aug 30, 2025 |
Will MrBeast say Chocolate 3+ times during next video?No | buy | 2.53 | $0.790 | $2 | Aug 30, 2025 |
Will MrBeast raise $40M for clean water by August 31?Yes | sell | 2.98 | $0.910 | $2.71 | Aug 28, 2025 |