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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | Yes | 36.11 | $0.360 | $2.71 | -$10.29 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?No | buy | 12.04 | $0.780 | $9.39 | Apr 15, 2026 |
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| Yes |
| 14.49 |
| $0.690 |
| $1.59 |
| -$8.41 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 80.08 | $0.262 | $0.4 | -$20.6 |
| buy |
| 15 |
| $0.800 |
| $12 |
| Apr 14, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by April 30?No | sell | 16.92 | $0.920 | $15.57 | Apr 14, 2026 |
Will MegaETH launch a token by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 18.46 | $0.650 | $12 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 21.82 | $0.550 | $12 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?No | sell | 8.1 | $0.930 | $7.53 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No | sell | 23.96 | $0.007 | $0.17 | Apr 13, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 25.42 | $0.590 | $15 | Apr 12, 2026 |
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | buy | 8.97 | $0.780 | $7 | Apr 12, 2026 |
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | buy | 8.97 | $0.780 | $7 | Apr 12, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.61 | $0.660 | $7 | Apr 10, 2026 |
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 13.06 | $0.689 | $9 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 16.43 | $0.770 | $12.65 | Apr 9, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.910 | $15.16 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?No | sell | 26.76 | $0.840 | $22.48 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.830 | $16.6 | Apr 8, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 16.9 | $0.710 | $12 | Apr 6, 2026 |
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 16.44 | $0.730 | $12 | Apr 6, 2026 |
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?No | buy | 26.76 | $0.710 | $19 | Apr 3, 2026 |
Will Tisza win 130+ seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?No | buy | 23.97 | $0.751 | $18 | Apr 2, 2026 |
US x Iran meeting by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Apr 1, 2026 |
US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 12.33 | $0.730 | $9 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | sell | 21.81 | $0.440 | $9.6 | Apr 1, 2026 |
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?No | sell | 55.1 | $0.977 | $53.83 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.650 | $13 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 17.85 | $0.962 | $17.17 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?No | buy | 47.11 | $0.190 | $8.95 | Mar 30, 2026 |
Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?No | buy | 8 | $0.750 | $6 | Mar 29, 2026 |
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 17.86 | $0.560 | $10 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 27, 2026?No | buy | 12.99 | $0.770 | $10 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will the US accuse Iran of Oslo Embassy attack?No | sell | 6.32 | $0.976 | $6.17 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | sell | 16.43 | $0.961 | $15.79 | Mar 26, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 21.82 | $0.372 | $8.12 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | sell | 12.89 | $0.630 | $8.12 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?Yes | buy | 12.89 | $0.650 | $8.38 | Mar 23, 2026 |
Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 8.96 | $0.670 | $6 | Mar 22, 2026 |
US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 11.31 | $0.750 | $8.48 | Mar 21, 2026 |
Will Trump visit China by April 30?No | buy | 16.44 | $0.730 | $12 | Mar 20, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes | sell | 27.9 | $0.420 | $11.72 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 20.69 | $0.580 | $12 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?Yes | buy | 27.91 | $0.430 | $12 | Mar 18, 2026 |
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?No | buy | 8.11 | $0.740 | $6 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.720 | $12 | Mar 17, 2026 |
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?Yes | sell | 27.86 | $0.930 | $25.91 | Mar 16, 2026 |
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | sell | 12.82 | $0.930 | $11.92 | Mar 16, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 13.41 | $0.499 | $6.69 | Mar 11, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?No | sell | 6.84 | $0.890 | $6.09 | Mar 11, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by April 30?No | buy | 16.92 | $0.650 | $11 | Mar 10, 2026 |
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?No | buy | 6.85 | $0.730 | $5 | Mar 9, 2026 |