Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 113.34 | $0.558 | $53.84 | -$9.37 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 473.68 | $0.019 | $9 | Apr 9, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 58.82 |
| $0.170 |
| $27.26 |
| +$17.26 |
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10.69 | +$0.69 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? | No | 10 | $0.910 | $9.5 | +$0.4 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 9.26 | $0.540 | $4.65 | -$0.35 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Yes | 29 | $0.483 | $1.89 | -$12.11 |
| Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 473.68 | $0.019 | $0.71 | -$8.29 |
| buy |
| 73.33 |
| $0.600 |
| $44 |
| Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the Selic rate after March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.975 | $9.75 | Feb 20, 2026 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 40 | $0.480 | $19.2 | Feb 8, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?No | buy | 6.17 | $0.810 | $5 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.830 | $8.3 | Jan 24, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 5.38 | $0.930 | $5 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | Jan 13, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 9, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?No | buy | 8.62 | $0.580 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?No | buy | 5.88 | $0.850 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 9.26 | $0.540 | $5 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 12.98 | $0.770 | $10 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25.32 | $0.790 | $20 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 12.04 | $0.870 | $10.47 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 3.11 | $0.964 | $3 | Dec 30, 2025 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 11.63 | $0.860 | $10 | Dec 23, 2025 |
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?Yes | sell | 80.15 | $0.040 | $3.21 | Dec 22, 2025 |
| Maduro out by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.540 | $10 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Maduro's rule survive a US military engagement?Yes | buy | 80.15 | $0.125 | $10 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 23.8 | $0.470 | $11.19 | Dec 5, 2025 |
 Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 40 | $0.939 | $37.56 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.200 | $4 | Dec 5, 2025 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 10 | $0.929 | $9.29 | Nov 11, 2025 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 30 | $0.936 | $28.08 | Nov 7, 2025 |
 Nuclear weapon detonation in 2025?No | buy | 20 | $0.960 | $19.2 | Nov 6, 2025 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's November 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.05 | $0.995 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |
 Will Venezuela invade Guyana in 2025?No | buy | 5.29 | $0.946 | $5 | Nov 5, 2025 |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | Nov 5, 2025 |