Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | May 2, 2025 |
 |
| buy |
| 4.76 |
| $0.210 |
| $1 |
| May 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump reduce majority of tariffs before July?Yes | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Apr 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.220 | $4 | Apr 8, 2025 |
 China x India military clash by June 30?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| China x India military clash by June 30?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Mar 28?Yes | buy | 7.32 | $0.410 | $3 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Mar 28?Yes | buy | 9.76 | $0.410 | $4 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $88000 on Mar 28?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.410 | $1 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $88000 on Mar 28?Yes | buy | 20.83 | $0.240 | $5 | Mar 25, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78000 and $80000 on Mar 28?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Mar 25, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.033 | $1 | Mar 14, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $200-250b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 90.91 | $0.022 | $2 | Mar 14, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?Yes | sell | 17.39 | $0.250 | $4.35 | Mar 14, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $83000 and $85000 on Mar 14?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 13.89 | $0.360 | $5 | Mar 14, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $83000 on Mar 14?Yes | sell | 42.75 | $0.330 | $14.11 | Mar 14, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $83000 on Mar 14?Yes | buy | 14.71 | $0.340 | $5 | Mar 14, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $83000 on Mar 14?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Mar 14, 2025 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $83000 on Mar 14?Yes | buy | 14.89 | $0.470 | $7 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 US government shutdown in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.360 | $2 | Mar 14, 2025 |
| U.S. Government funding lapse on March 15?Yes | buy | 17.39 | $0.230 | $4 | Mar 14, 2025 |
 Japan prime minister Ishiba out in 2025?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Bank of England rate cut in March meeting?Yes | buy | 18.18 | $0.055 | $1 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.085 | $1 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Mar 9, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2025 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 11.76 | $0.085 | $1 | Mar 9, 2025 |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Mar 9, 2025 |
 Ohio State vs. IndianaOhio State | buy | 1.67 | $0.600 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $89,000 on March 14?Yes | buy | 2.08 | $0.480 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 |
 Will Trump end USAID in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Trump severs ties with Ukraine before May?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Trump announces cutting all military aid to Ukraine aid before April?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Trump ends all military aid to Ukraine before April?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.100 | $2 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Zelenskyy impeached before July?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Mar 3, 2025 |
 Will Bill Gates be named in Epstein files?Yes | buy | 1.47 | $0.680 | $1 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will Jamie Dimon be named in Epstein files?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.649 | $1 | Feb 27, 2025 |
| Will Quinten Tarantino be named in Epstein files?Yes | buy | 1.57 | $0.637 | $1 | Feb 27, 2025 |
 Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.340 | $2 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 9.62 | $0.520 | $5 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon before March?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut 150-200k employees in 2025?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump cut military spending?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Will the number of federal employees decrease by 100,000-200,000 between December and June?Yes | buy | 10.24 | $0.293 | $3 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Will Trump end USAID in first 100 days?Yes | buy | 3.33 | $0.300 | $1 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Will federal spending decrease by $250-500b between Q4 2024 and Q2 2025?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.160 | $2 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $50-100b in federal spending in 2025?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.070 | $10 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Federal employee charged as a result of DOGE investigation?Yes | buy | 1.43 | $0.699 | $1 | Feb 12, 2025 |