Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 2.22 | $0.780 | $2.04 | +$0.31 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 1.91 | $0.976 | $1.86 | 1d ago |
 |
| No |
| 1.93 |
| $0.958 |
| $1.9 |
| +$0.05 |
 Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.96 | $0.888 | $1.83 | +$0.09 |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the September meeting? | Yes | 1.91 | $0.976 | $1.8 | -$0.06 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.85 | $0.860 | $1.73 | +$0.14 |
 Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.95 | $0.840 | $1.71 | +$0.07 |
| sell |
| 1.94 |
| $0.660 |
| $1.28 |
| 1d ago |
 Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $255 on August 24?Yes | buy | 2.24 | $0.870 | $1.95 | 17d ago |
 Will anyone say "Diary" during Big Brother E19?Yes | buy | 1.67 | $0.980 | $1.64 | 27d ago |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | sell | 1.96 | $0.650 | $1.27 | 27d ago |
| Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.95 | $0.840 | $1.64 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 Will KKR (KKR) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 2.1 | $0.900 | $1.89 | Jul 30, 2026 |
| Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.888 | $1.74 | Jul 23, 2026 |
 Swedish Open: Andrey Rublev vs Andrea PellegrinoAndrey Rublev | buy | 2.33 | $0.750 | $1.75 | Jul 16, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 July 6-12?No | buy | 1.98 | $0.850 | $1.68 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Banksy create a new mural or street artwork by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.94 | $0.900 | $1.75 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.820 | $1.68 | Jun 24, 2026 |
| Poznan: Gustavo Heide vs Maxim MrvaGustavo Heide | buy | 1.94 | $0.820 | $1.59 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Ilkley (Doubles): Bayldon/Schoolkate vs Bass/DuncanBayldon/Schoolkate | buy | 2.13 | $0.870 | $1.85 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | buy | 1.89 | $0.970 | $1.83 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?No | buy | 1.99 | $0.820 | $1.63 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | buy | 2.06 | $0.840 | $1.73 | May 28, 2026 |
 Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 1.82 | $0.126 | $0.23 | May 28, 2026 |
 Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.04 | $0.890 | $1.82 | May 21, 2026 |
 Will Valencia CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid end in a draw?No | buy | 2.3 | $0.690 | $1.59 | May 14, 2026 |
| Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.83 | $0.870 | $1.59 | May 7, 2026 |
 Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?No | buy | 1.92 | $0.930 | $1.79 | May 1, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.18 | $0.800 | $1.74 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.830 | $1.63 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?Yes | buy | 2.04 | $0.850 | $1.73 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.989 | $1.94 | Apr 1, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.790 | $1.93 | Mar 25, 2026 |
| Trump eliminates capital gains tax on crypto before 2027?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.958 | $1.85 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | sell | 6.49 | $0.730 | $4.74 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?No | sell | 3.2K | $0.995 | $3.18K | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March?No | buy | 3.2K | $0.996 | $3.19K | Mar 10, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?No | sell | 2.32 | $0.710 | $1.65 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | buy | 2.05 | $0.870 | $1.78 | Mar 7, 2026 |
| Nicolás Maduro released from custody by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.85 | $0.860 | $1.59 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in February 2026?No | buy | 1.86 | $0.910 | $1.69 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by March 31?No | sell | 2.59 | $0.273 | $0.71 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31?No | buy | 1.99 | $0.900 | $1.79 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 2.14 | $0.505 | $1.08 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?Yes | sell | 2.88 | $0.601 | $1.73 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 4.32 | $0.486 | $2.1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.830 | $2.16 | Feb 7, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.14 | $0.830 | $1.78 | Feb 1, 2026 |
 Will Dan Koe win the X $1M article prize?No | buy | 1.6 | $0.890 | $1.42 | Jan 27, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.96 | $0.800 | $1.57 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 2.37 | $0.790 | $1.87 | Jan 17, 2026 |
| Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.910 | $1.68 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?Yes | buy | 2.88 | $0.927 | $2.67 | Jan 7, 2026 |
| US recession by end of 2026?No | buy | 2.32 | $0.770 | $1.79 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 3.12 | $0.910 | $2.84 | Dec 24, 2025 |
 Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?Yes | buy | 2.95 | $0.898 | $2.65 | Dec 19, 2025 |