Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 888.9 | $0.390 | $346.67 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 |
| sell |
| 191.68 |
| $0.690 |
| $132.26 |
| Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 879.07 | $0.378 | $332.29 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Yes | sell | 543.38 | $0.612 | $332.3 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 265.51 | $0.379 | $100.63 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Who will 538 predict to win the election?Trump | sell | 1.2K | $0.003 | $4 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Joe Rogan announce he is voting for Trump?Yes | sell | 2.38K | $0.041 | $96.63 | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Will Joe Rogan announce he is voting for Trump?Yes | buy | 2.38K | $0.672 | $1.6K | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Who will 538 predict to win the election?Trump | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Trump | sell | 1.65K | $0.996 | $1.64K | Nov 5, 2024 |
| Who will 538 predict to win the election?Trump | buy | 1K | $0.950 | $950 | Nov 4, 2024 |
| Who will 538 predict to win the election?Trump | buy | 543 | $0.860 | $466.98 | Nov 3, 2024 |
| Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Trump | buy | 2.23K | $0.890 | $1.99K | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 2.26K | $0.880 | $1.99K | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Trump | buy | 1.17K | $0.865 | $1.01K | Nov 2, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.15K | $0.880 | $1.01K | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will JD Vance say "Kamala" 30 or more times during the Joe Rogan podcast?Yes | buy | 1.45K | $0.894 | $1.3K | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Who will 538 predict to win the election?Trump | sell | 20 | $0.600 | $12 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Will South Dakota's abortion protection measure pass?Yes | buy | 191.68 | $0.540 | $103.51 | Oct 31, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.331 | $331 | Oct 30, 2024 |
| Will ≥2% of votes go to 3rd Party candidates?Yes | buy | 1.54K | $0.648 | $1K | Oct 28, 2024 |
| Who will 538 predict to win the election?Harris | sell | 1.7K | $0.151 | $256.52 | Oct 28, 2024 |
 Will Trump mention 8+ states during Rogan interview?Yes | buy | 910.12 | $0.989 | $899.79 | Oct 26, 2024 |
 Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?Yes | buy | 13.5K | $0.049 | $656.34 | Oct 26, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "vaccine" on The Joe Rogan Experience?Yes | buy | 1.57K | $0.690 | $1.08K | Oct 26, 2024 |
 Another Iran strike on Israel in October?Yes | sell | 2.73K | $0.220 | $600.85 | Oct 26, 2024 |
| Another Iran strike on Israel in October?Yes | buy | 2.73K | $0.389 | $1.06K | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Who will 538 predict to win the election?Harris | sell | 380 | $0.350 | $133 | Oct 25, 2024 |
| Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?Yes | sell | 979.99 | $0.110 | $107.8 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Who will 538 predict to win the election?Harris | buy | 200 | $0.300 | $60 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Who will 538 predict to win the election?Harris | buy | 100 | $0.290 | $29 | Oct 23, 2024 |
| Who will 538 predict to win the election?Harris | buy | 7.14K | $0.308 | $2.2K | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Trump | sell | 2.5K | $0.888 | $2.22K | Oct 22, 2024 |
| Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?Trump | buy | 3.52K | $0.861 | $3.03K | Oct 21, 2024 |
 Will Trump win Vermont Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 1.29K | $0.870 | $1.12K | Mar 5, 2024 |
 Will Nikki Haley drop out before Super Tuesday?No | buy | 1.12K | $0.970 | $1.09K | Feb 28, 2024 |
 Will Trump mention Rig the most in South Carolina speech?No | buy | 694.44 | $0.940 | $652.77 | Feb 25, 2024 |
 Will Trump mention Biden the most in South Carolina speech?Yes | buy | 202.86 | $0.350 | $71 | Feb 24, 2024 |
 Will Trump mention MAGA the most in South Carolina speech?No | buy | 204.35 | $0.920 | $188 | Feb 24, 2024 |
 Biden drops out of presidential race?No | sell | 1.45K | $0.760 | $1.1K | Feb 23, 2024 |
| Biden drops out of presidential race?No | buy | 1.45K | $0.691 | $999.93 | Feb 10, 2024 |