Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.22K | $0.490 | $724.95 | +$127.93 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Yes | buy | 70.32 | $0.253 | $17.79 | 1d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.3K |
| $0.300 |
| $189.19 |
| -$202.67 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | Yes | 1.5K | $0.133 | $97.38 | -$101.59 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 500.45 | $0.227 | $47.54 | -$65.97 |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond? | Yes | 70.32 | $0.253 | $26.51 | +$8.72 |
 Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 126.9 | $0.595 | $26.01 | -$49.5 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 1.49K | $0.080 | $23.14 | -$96.3 |
 Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 92.78 | $0.377 | $15.31 | -$19.67 |
 Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 71.93 | $0.576 | $14.39 | -$27.03 |
 Will Steve Witkoff attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 36.63 | $0.474 | $8.06 | -$9.31 |
| Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026? | No | 3.76 | $0.760 | $2.99 | +$0.13 |
 Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | 10.52 | $0.100 | $0.44 | -$0.61 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 0.14 | $0.634 | $0 | -$0.08 |
| buy |
| 54.71 |
| $0.210 |
| $11.49 |
| 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 142.43 | $0.200 | $28.49 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 76 | $0.155 | $11.8 | 4d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.48 | $0.250 | $2.37 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 153.08 | $0.260 | $39.8 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.27 | $0.260 | $12.03 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.19 | $0.260 | $9.15 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 38 | $0.260 | $9.88 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 23.27 | $0.293 | $6.82 | 5d ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 23.28 | $0.400 | $9.31 | 5d ago |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 14.53 | $0.460 | $6.68 | 5d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 4.49 | $0.360 | $1.62 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 19.02 | $0.370 | $7.04 | 6d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | sell | 55 | $0.260 | $14.3 | 7d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Yes | buy | 796 | $0.100 | $79.6 | 7d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?Yes | buy | 55 | $0.240 | $13.2 | 7d ago |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | sell | 628.42 | $0.190 | $119.4 | 7d ago |
 Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 17.39 | $0.760 | $13.22 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 6.58 | $0.773 | $5.08 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.42 | $0.800 | $5.94 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 66.11 | $0.805 | $53.25 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.96 | $0.850 | $1.67 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 34.03 | $0.823 | $28 | 8d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?No | buy | 628.42 | $0.190 | $119.4 | 8d ago |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 34.25 | $0.903 | $30.92 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 50.84 | $0.890 | $45.25 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 44.49 | $0.852 | $37.92 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target Jordan by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 133.49 | $0.649 | $86.57 | 8d ago |
 Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 131.15 | $0.170 | $22.29 | 8d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 276.11 | $0.190 | $52.46 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 46.41 | $0.590 | $27.38 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.93 | $0.590 | $4.68 | 8d ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 75.25 | $0.600 | $45.15 | 8d ago |
 Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | 9d ago |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.153 | $22.94 | 9d ago |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes | sell | 20.85 | $0.120 | $2.5 | 9d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes | sell | 3.11 | $0.130 | $0.4 | 10d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes | sell | 4.48 | $0.140 | $0.63 | 10d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes | sell | 0.22 | $0.140 | $0.03 | 10d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes | sell | 1.34 | $0.140 | $0.19 | 10d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.150 | $4.5 | 10d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Yes | buy | 55.73 | $0.074 | $4.12 | 10d ago |
| Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 0.52 | $0.190 | $0.1 | 13d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 385.16 | $0.310 | $119.4 | 13d ago |
 Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?No | sell | 304.63 | $0.450 | $137.18 | 13d ago |
| Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.080 | $0.4 | 13d ago |
| Will Karim Bouamrane be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.110 | $0.55 | 13d ago |
| Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 42.66 | $0.350 | $14.93 | 13d ago |
| Will Xavier Bertrand be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Yes | buy | 50.13 | $0.400 | $20.05 | 13d ago |