Analytics
The cohort performance summary keeps its original period. These positions are a separate Polymarket observation and do not establish complete position history.
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Yoon in jail before August?No | buy | 50.42 | $0.130 | $6.55 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 5 |
| $0.340 |
| $1.7 |
| Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.261 | $1.31 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.270 | $1.35 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.440 | $2.2 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Yoon in jail before August?No | buy | 56.54 | $0.130 | $7.35 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Yoon in jail before August?No | buy | 195.09 | $0.130 | $25.36 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.330 | $8.25 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?No | sell | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 US-EU trade agreement by July 9?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.220 | $2.2 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.490 | $2.45 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by July 15?No | sell | 5 | $0.540 | $2.7 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Yoon in jail before August?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | Jul 8, 2025 |
 Rangers vs. AngelsRangers | buy | 661 | $0.380 | $251.18 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Diamondbacks vs. PadresPadres | sell | 200 | $0.170 | $34 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Rangers vs. AngelsRangers | buy | 100 | $0.560 | $56 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Diamondbacks vs. PadresPadres | buy | 100 | $0.540 | $54 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Rangers vs. AngelsRangers | buy | 100 | $0.560 | $56 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Marlins vs. RedsReds | sell | 400 | $0.550 | $220 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Marlins vs. RedsReds | buy | 60 | $0.570 | $34.2 | Jul 8, 2025 |
| Dodgers vs. BrewersDodgers | sell | 400 | $0.391 | $156.23 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Dodgers vs. BrewersDodgers | buy | 200 | $0.570 | $114 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Dodgers vs. BrewersDodgers | buy | 200 | $0.560 | $112 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Phillies vs. GiantsPhillies | buy | 1K | $0.560 | $560 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Giants vs. AthleticsGiants | sell | 65.01 | $0.995 | $64.68 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Giants vs. AthleticsGiants | buy | 65.01 | $0.920 | $59.81 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Cardinals vs. CubsCubs | sell | 982 | $0.830 | $815.06 | Jul 7, 2025 |
| Cardinals vs. CubsCubs | buy | 3.53K | $0.660 | $2.33K | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Cardinals vs. CubsCubs | buy | 200 | $0.660 | $132 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Astros vs. DodgersDodgers | buy | 100 | $0.600 | $60 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Pirates vs. MarinersPirates | buy | 100 | $0.422 | $42.16 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Angels vs. Blue JaysAngels | buy | 100 | $0.535 | $53.52 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Angels vs. Blue JaysAngels | buy | 100 | $0.530 | $53 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Reds vs. PhilliesPhillies | buy | 25 | $0.730 | $18.25 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| White Sox vs. RockiesWhite Sox | buy | 50 | $0.530 | $26.5 | Jul 6, 2025 |
| Cardinals vs. CubsCubs | buy | 100 | $0.660 | $66 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?Yes | buy | 447.65 | $0.010 | $4.62 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?Yes | buy | 605.86 | $0.094 | $56.83 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?Yes | sell | 4.06K | $0.088 | $357.66 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.117 | $0.59 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.136 | $0.68 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?Yes | buy | 662 | $0.149 | $98.89 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?Yes | buy | 266.18 | $0.134 | $35.78 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $106,000 on July 4?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.975 | $4.88 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Ethereum above $2,400 on July 4?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.991 | $4.96 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party before August?Yes | sell | 729.86 | $0.350 | $255.45 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?Yes | sell | 2.58K | $0.203 | $522.5 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.211 | $42.22 | Jul 4, 2025 |
| Will Elon Musk create a new political party by July 4?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.107 | $0.54 | Jul 3, 2025 |