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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.999 | $1.24 | Jan 2, 2026 |
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| buy |
| 1.17 |
| $0.995 |
| $1.16 |
| Jan 2, 2026 |
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.995 | $1.14 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.900 | $1.12 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Will CapCut: Photo & Video Editor be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 2?Yes | buy | 1.37 | $0.891 | $1.22 | Jan 2, 2026 |
Solana Up or Down on December 23?Up | buy | 2.94 | $0.510 | $1.5 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Solana Up or Down on December 23?Up | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Dec 22, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.935 | $2.6 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.968 | $1.1 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.88 | $0.994 | $1.87 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 2.22 | $0.990 | $2.2 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 2.85 | $0.967 | $2.76 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 3.58 | $0.950 | $3.4 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will Apple be the most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.997 | $2.11 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 1.65 | $0.997 | $1.65 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 2.01 | $0.993 | $2 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will Anthropic have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.7 | $0.997 | $1.69 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 2.71 | $0.997 | $2.7 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will xAI have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 2.41 | $0.997 | $2.4 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will Alibaba have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 2.51 | $0.996 | $2.5 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will Google have the best AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.981 | $5 | Oct 25, 2025 |
Will Alibaba have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.993 | $1.18 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.42 | $0.992 | $2.4 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?Yes | buy | 3.61 | $0.969 | $3.5 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 4.2 | $0.500 | $2.1 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will Apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | buy | 3.96 | $0.505 | $2 | Sep 28, 2025 |
Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 9.28 | $0.970 | $9 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 8.12 | $0.985 | $8 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 15.37 | $0.976 | $15 | Aug 15, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 2.37 | $0.979 | $2.32 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 3.08 | $0.975 | $3 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?No | buy | 3.02 | $0.992 | $3 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 5.8 | $0.978 | $5.67 | Jul 30, 2025 |
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.78 | $0.977 | $5.65 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 5.93 | $0.977 | $5.79 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 5.95 | $0.975 | $5.8 | Jul 30, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 5.8 | $0.975 | $5.65 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 5.8 | $0.975 | $5.65 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 5.4 | $0.967 | $5.22 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 5.7 | $0.967 | $5.51 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?Yes | buy | 5.1 | $0.967 | $4.93 | Jun 29, 2025 |
Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea?No | buy | 5.94 | $0.959 | $5.7 | May 30, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | buy | 6.09 | $0.952 | $5.8 | May 30, 2025 |
Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 5.78 | $0.986 | $5.7 | May 30, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | sell | 900 | $0.880 | $792 | May 10, 2025 |
Will the candidate from the Democratic Party (DPK) win the South Korean Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 855.59 | $0.910 | $778.59 | May 10, 2025 |
Will Lee Jae-myung be elected the next president of South Korea?Yes | sell | 1.15K | $0.870 | $1K | May 10, 2025 |
Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.984 | $4.92 | Apr 27, 2025 |
Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?Yes | buy | 5.66 | $0.972 | $5.5 | Mar 21, 2025 |
Will Atalanta win the UEFA Champions League?Yes | buy | 751.67 | $0.018 | $13.53 | Nov 21, 2024 |