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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 15.65 | $0.570 | $7.9 | -$1.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | sell | 17.03 | $0.720 | $12.26 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 17.45 |
| $0.941 |
| $16.42 |
| Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?No | sell | 24.37 | $0.850 | $20.71 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the first round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?No | buy | 11.84 | $0.670 | $7.93 | May 26, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 16.26 | $0.120 | $1.95 | May 10, 2026 |
 Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | sell | 26.59 | $0.280 | $7.45 | May 10, 2026 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No | sell | 66.65 | $0.070 | $4.67 | May 10, 2026 |
| Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 17.04 | $0.553 | $9.43 | May 5, 2026 |
| Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?No | buy | 26.61 | $0.380 | $10.11 | May 3, 2026 |
 Will Pixelworks (PXLW) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 20.29 | $0.510 | $10.35 | May 3, 2026 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?No | buy | 17.47 | $0.750 | $13.1 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Reform UK win at least 1800 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?No | buy | 29.25 | $0.493 | $14.41 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?Yes | buy | 10.3 | $0.760 | $7.83 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?No | buy | 66.67 | $0.300 | $20 | Apr 26, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 15.65 | $0.570 | $8.92 | Apr 25, 2026 |
 Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?No | buy | 12.76 | $0.670 | $8.55 | Apr 23, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic make a deal with the Pentagon by June 30?No | buy | 24.39 | $0.490 | $11.95 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Merck & Co (MRK) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 99.11 | $0.185 | $18.37 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 64.69 | $0.309 | $20 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 Will Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 77000?No | buy | 50.54 | $0.396 | $20 | Apr 22, 2026 |
 QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?No | buy | 18.49 | $0.700 | $12.94 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 91.42 | $0.219 | $20 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?Yes | buy | 19.6 | $0.618 | $12.11 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Plaid Cymru win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?No | buy | 117.48 | $0.170 | $20 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the median home value in the Los Angeles Metro area be between $1,170,000 and $1,180,000 on April 30?No | buy | 25.74 | $0.777 | $20 | Apr 19, 2026 |
 Will the People Power Party win 2 seats in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?No | buy | 18.98 | $0.650 | $12.34 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.28 | $0.430 | $7 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?No | buy | 21.86 | $0.549 | $12 | Apr 18, 2026 |
| Will Jared Kushner have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?Yes | buy | 13.75 | $0.800 | $11 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote?Yes | buy | 30.76 | $0.290 | $8.92 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 31.88 | $0.413 | $13.16 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 68.55 | $0.253 | $17.32 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 DeepSeek V4 released by April 30?No | buy | 75.3 | $0.230 | $17.32 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.01 | $0.310 | $3.72 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | sell | 2.87 | $0.850 | $2.44 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | sell | 3.52 | $0.390 | $1.37 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 8.69 | $0.043 | $0.37 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in April?Yes | sell | 2.33 | $0.780 | $1.82 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?Yes | sell | 8.38 | $0.762 | $6.39 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will TISZA win 50-54% of the national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election?Yes | sell | 23.61 | $0.941 | $22.21 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?No | sell | 10 | $0.686 | $6.86 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?No | sell | 10.04 | $0.959 | $9.63 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?No | sell | 8.75 | $0.890 | $7.79 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027?Yes | sell | 2.01 | $0.520 | $1.05 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | sell | 35.82 | $0.998 | $35.75 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.02 | $0.510 | $6.13 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.58 | $0.620 | $4.08 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 9, 2026?Yes | buy | 7.21 | $0.630 | $4.54 | Apr 9, 2026 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?No | buy | 2.88 | $0.830 | $2.39 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?No | buy | 3.53 | $0.760 | $2.68 | Apr 7, 2026 |