Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 1.05K | $0.250 | $262.5 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 200 |
| $0.830 |
| $166 |
| Apr 18, 2026 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.52K | $0.100 | $151.68 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before 2027?Yes | sell | 112 | $0.160 | $17.92 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 US recession by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 101.99 | $0.250 | $25.5 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Iran coup attempt by June 30?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.090 | $18 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.060 | $60 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 410 | $0.027 | $11.08 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?Yes | sell | 30.92 | $0.230 | $7.11 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will any country leave NATO by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 167.69 | $0.039 | $6.54 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 216.51 | $0.009 | $1.87 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 825.96 | $0.011 | $9.07 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?Yes | sell | 166.1 | $0.160 | $26.58 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 305 | $0.140 | $42.73 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 China coup attempt before 2027?Yes | sell | 804.39 | $0.048 | $38.73 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?Yes | sell | 299.98 | $0.115 | $34.36 | Apr 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | sell | 1.04K | $0.190 | $198.24 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?No | sell | 183.77 | $0.619 | $113.73 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?Yes | buy | 302.52 | $0.520 | $157.31 | Mar 22, 2026 |
| Italy Judicial Reform Referendum passes?Yes | buy | 144.85 | $0.500 | $72.43 | Mar 22, 2026 |
 Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.350 | $70 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 53.68 | $0.696 | $37.37 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.330 | $99 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 90 | $0.320 | $28.8 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.310 | $9.3 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.310 | $62 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 84.28 | $0.700 | $59 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 2.67K | $0.576 | $1.54K | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 2.67K | $0.748 | $2K | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | sell | 300 | $0.137 | $41.1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.728 | $7.28 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 170.01 | $0.710 | $120.71 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 642.1 | $0.960 | $616.42 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.880 | $1.76K | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Moltbook shutdown by Feb 28?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.039 | $1.17 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.308 | $92.48 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.450 | $90 | Feb 14, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Jan 26, 2026 |
| China coup attempt before 2027?Yes | buy | 204.39 | $0.085 | $17.36 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit Greenland by March 31?No | buy | 64.96 | $0.890 | $57.81 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 Zama auction clearing price above $0.06?Yes | buy | 904.29 | $0.020 | $18.06 | Jan 25, 2026 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 770 | $0.955 | $735.35 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 400 | $0.954 | $381.6 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.170 | $170 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.450 | $135 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Caroline Ellison new boyfriend by January 31?No | buy | 94.28 | $0.981 | $92.49 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?No | buy | 300 | $0.920 | $276 | Jan 22, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 200 | $0.820 | $164 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.35 | $0.908 | $8.49 | Jan 22, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during January press conference?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.965 | $96.5 | Jan 22, 2026 |