Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | Yes | 71.43 | $0.140 | $11.79 | +$1.79 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 20.16 |
| $0.248 |
| $2.85 |
| -$2.15 |
 Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 314.3 | $0.007 | $1.57 | -$0.63 |
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 30.49 | $0.082 | $0.78 | -$1.72 |
| buy |
| 28.57 |
| $0.035 |
| $1 |
| Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 18.52 | $0.162 | $3 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 11.9 | $0.084 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp | buy | 91.13 | $0.033 | $3 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETUp | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETDown | buy | 14.29 | $0.210 | $3 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on June 8?Down | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on June 8?Down | buy | 156.61 | $0.032 | $5 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 21.43 | $0.140 | $3 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETUp | buy | 14.19 | $0.170 | $2.41 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETDown | sell | 42.85 | $0.370 | $15.85 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETDown | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETUp | buy | 79.16 | $0.038 | $3 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETUp | buy | 60 | $0.050 | $3 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETDown | sell | 7.89 | $0.850 | $6.71 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETUp | buy | 8.97 | $0.334 | $3 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETDown | buy | 7.89 | $0.380 | $3 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 12.5 | $0.240 | $3 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.300 | $3 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETDown | buy | 60 | $0.050 | $3 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | sell | 91.46 | $0.056 | $5.12 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 399.99 | $0.015 | $6 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 57.47 | $0.077 | $4.43 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETDown | buy | 72.91 | $0.041 | $3 | May 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-11:50AM ETDown | buy | 200 | $0.020 | $4 | May 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:40AM-11:45AM ETUp | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
 MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 714.29 | $0.007 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 20.16 | $0.248 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 57.47 | $0.087 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETDown | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | May 9, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 121.95 | $0.082 | $10 | May 9, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 48.68 | $0.136 | $6.62 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.006 | $3 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 92.59 | $0.054 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 103.13 | $0.320 | $33 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Feb 18, 2026 |