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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 100 | $0.620 | $70.5 | +$8.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.240 | $2.4 | Jul 2, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 71.58 |
| $0.629 |
| $67.82 |
| +$22.82 |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 55.31 | $0.904 | $53.35 | +$3.35 |
 Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | Yes | 581 | $0.179 | $52.29 | -$51.48 |
 Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Yes | 350 | $0.080 | $26.25 | -$1.75 |
 Ahmed al-Sharaa out as leader of Syria by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 71.68 | $0.140 | $3.94 | -$6.06 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 26.45 | $0.378 | $2.78 | -$7.22 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 13.51 | $0.370 | $1.15 | -$3.85 |
 Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 1.16 | $0.860 | $0.95 | -$0.05 |
 Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.002 | $0.25 | -$0.75 |
 Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 30.3 | $0.033 | $0.03 | -$0.97 |
| buy |
| 20 |
| $0.275 |
| $5.5 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
 Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Yes | buy | 340 | $0.003 | $1.02 | Jul 2, 2026 |
| Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?Yes | buy | 77.96 | $0.278 | $21.71 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will LeBron James play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 340 | $0.003 | $1.02 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.229 | $2.29 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?Yes | buy | 66.53 | $0.190 | $12.64 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 710 | $0.021 | $14.91 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 2?Down | buy | 10 | $0.370 | $3.7 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 FDA approves Vera Therapeutics' Atacicept?No | buy | 110 | $0.360 | $39.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?No | buy | 10 | $0.700 | $7 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will James Harden play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?No | buy | 60 | $0.080 | $4.8 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will LeBron's next contract average under $4M per year?No | buy | 20 | $0.865 | $17.3 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Austin Reaves play for the Los Angeles Lakers in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 57.75 | $0.960 | $55.44 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 170 | $0.006 | $1.02 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 310 | $0.290 | $89.9 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.380 | $7.6 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?No | buy | 100 | $0.620 | $62 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 130 | $0.008 | $1.04 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.1T by June 30?Yes | sell | 42.99 | $0.620 | $26.65 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?No | sell | 160 | $0.372 | $59.46 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Iran full airspace closure by June 30?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.063 | $1.26 | Jun 28, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping on June 28?No | buy | 29 | $0.910 | $26.39 | Jun 28, 2026 |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? AND Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | buy | 3.62 | $0.276 | $1 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by June 30?No | sell | 10 | $0.998 | $9.98 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will United States win on 2026-06-25?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.530 | $6.89 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?No | sell | 20.83 | $0.890 | $18.54 | Jun 25, 2026 |
 Trump out as President before GTA VI?No | sell | 40 | $0.500 | $20 | Jun 24, 2026 |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 20 | $0.700 | $14 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No | buy | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.67 | $0.600 | $1.6 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.060 | $1.2 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?Yes | buy | 1.76 | $0.850 | $1.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes | sell | 35.08 | $0.999 | $35.04 | Jun 21, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 2.94 | $0.340 | $1 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No | buy | 30 | $0.830 | $24.9 | Jun 20, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?No | buy | 5 | $0.290 | $1.45 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?No | buy | 50 | $0.390 | $19.5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No | buy | 10 | $0.770 | $7.7 | Jun 19, 2026 |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No | buy | 10 | $0.970 | $9.7 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETDown | buy | 8.2 | $0.610 | $5 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by June 30?No | buy | 23 | $0.955 | $21.97 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.834 | $8.34 | Jun 19, 2026 |
 Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?No | buy | 3.27 | $0.580 | $1.9 | Jun 18, 2026 |
 Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?No | buy | 10 | $0.301 | $3.01 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.578 | $5.78 | Jun 18, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?No | buy | 3.24 | $0.618 | $2 | Jun 17, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.5T by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.835 | $4.18 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.130 | $1.3 | Jun 17, 2026 |
 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.890 | $8.9 | Jun 17, 2026 |