Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | No | 5.75 | $0.870 | $5.32 | +$0.32 |
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
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| No |
| 1.33 |
| $0.750 |
| $1.24 |
| +$0.24 |
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 1.07 | $0.933 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 5.47 | $0.548 | $0.9 | -$2.1 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.230 | $0.8 | -$0.2 |
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? | Yes | 1.72 | $0.580 | $0.58 | -$0.42 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 2.7 | $0.370 | $0.38 | -$0.62 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 3.23 | $0.310 | $0.27 | -$0.73 |
| buy |
| 1.14 |
| $0.880 |
| $1 |
| May 19, 2026 |
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?Yes | buy | 1.72 | $0.580 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.933 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | May 19, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETUp | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETUp | buy | 2.86 | $0.350 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETUp | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETUp | buy | 1.27 | $0.790 | $1 | May 7, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | sell | 3.41 | $0.641 | $2.19 | May 7, 2026 |
Kurds declare independence from Iran?Yes | sell | 6.66 | $0.033 | $0.22 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.56 | $0.642 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes | buy | 2.7 | $0.370 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.946 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.549 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | May 5, 2026 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?Yes | sell | 22.5 | $0.100 | $2.25 | May 5, 2026 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.949 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?Yes | buy | 1.6 | $0.626 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Prymorske by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Prymorske by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?Yes | buy | 22.5 | $0.089 | $2 | May 4, 2026 |
Will Russia capture Rai-Oleksandrivka by June 30?No | buy | 2.27 | $0.880 | $2 | May 4, 2026 |
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | May 4, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 2.21 | $0.954 | $2.11 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 1.75 | $0.570 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.730 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Iran leadership change by April 30?No | buy | 2.5 | $0.800 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?No | buy | 2.13 | $0.939 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?No | buy | 3.08 | $0.650 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.720 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?No | buy | 2.12 | $0.945 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?No | buy | 1.24 | $0.804 | $1 | Apr 7, 2026 |
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.859 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Yes | sell | 2.38 | $0.410 | $0.98 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 7.69 | $0.197 | $1.51 | Apr 7, 2026 |
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?Yes | sell | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Apr 7, 2026 |