Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | Yes | 61.33 | $0.244 | $45.08 | +$30.08 |
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.81 | $0.370 | $4 | 3d ago |
 |
| No |
| 27.78 |
| $0.360 |
| $23.19 |
| +$13.19 |
 Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 35.21 | $0.284 | $18.96 | +$8.96 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 21.74 | $0.460 | $18.8 | +$8.8 |
 Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.300 | $17.83 | +$7.83 |
 Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | Yes | 36.36 | $0.550 | $17.45 | -$2.55 |
 Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? | Yes | 20.41 | $0.490 | $16.84 | +$6.84 |
 Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? | No | 18.52 | $0.540 | $16.02 | +$6.02 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 34.25 | $0.292 | $15.92 | +$5.92 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | No | 17.86 | $0.560 | $15.36 | +$5.36 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)? | No | 26.32 | $0.380 | $14.08 | +$4.08 |
 Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | Yes | 18.04 | $0.554 | $14.07 | +$4.07 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | No | 18.66 | $0.536 | $13.62 | +$3.62 |
 Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 26.67 | $0.375 | $13.4 | +$3.4 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 112.36 | $0.089 | $13.31 | +$3.31 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? | No | 21.74 | $0.460 | $12.93 | +$2.93 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | Yes | 16.39 | $0.610 | $12.87 | +$2.87 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 58.82 | $0.170 | $12.65 | +$2.65 |
 Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31? | No | 76.92 | $0.130 | $12.31 | +$2.31 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50.25 | $0.199 | $12.24 | +$2.24 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 15.87 | $0.630 | $11.9 | +$1.9 |
 Will Bola Tinubu win the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election? | Yes | 15.63 | $0.640 | $11.41 | +$1.41 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 15.87 | $0.630 | $11.35 | +$1.35 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 21.74 | $0.460 | $11.2 | +$1.2 |
 Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | No | 15.87 | $0.630 | $11.19 | +$1.19 |
| sell |
| 13.81 |
| $0.887 |
| $12.25 |
| 3d ago |
 Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?Yes | sell | 16.66 | $0.890 | $14.83 | 3d ago |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | sell | 18.18 | $0.920 | $16.73 | 3d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 120 | $0.050 | $6 | 11d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | sell | 13.15 | $0.991 | $13.03 | 11d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | 11d ago |
 Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.350 | $10 | 11d ago |
 Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?No | sell | 23.8 | $0.900 | $21.42 | 11d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | 14d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | 14d ago |
 Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?No | sell | 18.86 | $0.870 | $16.41 | 14d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | 14d ago |
| Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?Yes | buy | 19.23 | $0.520 | $10 | 14d ago |
 Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.75 | $0.160 | $3 | 14d ago |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | 14d ago |
 Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 16.5 | $0.606 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.550 | $20 | 16d ago |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.140 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Yes | buy | 27.78 | $0.360 | $10 | 16d ago |
 Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?Yes | buy | 17.78 | $0.562 | $10 | 16d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.98 | $0.900 | $11.68 | 16d ago |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 14.7 | $0.920 | $13.52 | 19d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?No | buy | 18.66 | $0.536 | $10 | 19d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 16.03 | $0.624 | $10 | 19d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.981 | $16.34 | 20d ago |
| Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?No | buy | 76.92 | $0.130 | $10 | 20d ago |
 Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | 20d ago |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in August?Yes | buy | 16.47 | $0.607 | $10 | 20d ago |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | 21d ago |
 Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 13.58 | $0.966 | $13.12 | 21d ago |
 Will Team Vitality Win the CS2 EWC 2026?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.240 | $10 | 22d ago |
 LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup PlayoffsDN SOOPers | sell | 14.92 | $0.999 | $14.91 | 23d ago |
 Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.700 | $10 | 23d ago |
| LoL: T1 vs DN SOOPers (BO5) - KeSPA Cup PlayoffsDN SOOPers | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | 23d ago |
| Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?No | buy | 23.81 | $0.420 | $10 | 23d ago |
 Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31?No | sell | 15.31 | $0.820 | $12.55 | 23d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Yes | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | 23d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in August?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | 28d ago |
 Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?Yes | buy | 15.23 | $0.657 | $10 | 28d ago |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.550 | $10 | 28d ago |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?No | sell | 14.7 | $0.820 | $12.05 | 28d ago |
 Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?No | sell | 16.66 | $0.850 | $14.16 | 28d ago |
 Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 16.15 | $0.870 | $14.04 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?No | buy | 13.33 | $0.750 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 17.54 | $0.570 | $10 | Aug 3, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?Yes | sell | 13.33 | $0.998 | $13.3 | Aug 1, 2026 |
 Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?Yes | buy | 14.93 | $0.670 | $10 | Jul 24, 2026 |