Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | No | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | +$0 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Wisconsin order a Democratic governor primary recount by August 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.999 | $1.02 | 14d ago |
 |
Galldown is a public Polymarket wallet indexed by Vultax, ranked #1,262,981 in the Observed 80K cohort. As of the latest observation the record shows -$0.74 observed lifetime PnL, 93 distinct markets, 50 resolved positions, a 40.0% win rate on resolved positions.
Rank, total PnL and observed volume come from one accepted snapshot of Polymarket's public leaderboard, so they are consistent with each other and with every other profile in the cohort. Open positions, the chart and recent trades are separate live observations with their own timestamps. A figure Vultax could not observe is left out rather than shown as zero, and nothing on this page is investment advice or a return forecast.
Public profile: polymarket.com/profile/0xb8e93c75879c7406fdaced71a81819f876f1f711
Nine stops, one per figure. Each says what the number is, why it matters, and what it reads for this wallet in the accepted snapshot.
Position in Vultax's Observed 80K cohort: 80,000 public Polymarket wallets ordered by observed lifetime profit in one accepted leaderboard snapshot. A rank is only comparable inside that snapshot.
Observed lifetime profit and loss for the wallet, realized and unrealized combined, as reported in the accepted snapshot. It is a record of what happened, not a forecast of what comes next.
| buy |
| 1.27 |
| $0.830 |
| $1.05 |
| 14d ago |
| Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | 14d ago |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?No | sell | 3.33 | $0.993 | $3.31 | 14d ago |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by August 31?No | buy | 4.41 | $0.998 | $4.4 | 14d ago |
 Will the highest temperature in New York City be 92°F or higher on August 31?No | sell | 4.44 | $0.997 | $4.43 | 14d ago |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be 92°F or higher on August 31?No | buy | 5.51 | $0.999 | $5.5 | 14d ago |
 Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in August?No | sell | 5 | $0.992 | $4.96 | 14d ago |
 Will "BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky" be the #1 song this week?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.960 | $1.02 | 14d ago |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $52 in August?No | buy | 6.01 | $0.999 | $6 | 14d ago |
 Will ISM Services PMI be below 50.0 in August?No | sell | 6.93 | $0.995 | $6.9 | 14d ago |
| Will ISM Services PMI be below 50.0 in August?No | buy | 8.02 | $0.997 | $8 | 14d ago |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 August 24-30?No | sell | 7.44 | $0.998 | $7.43 | 14d ago |
 Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco GiantsSan Francisco Giants | buy | 1.03 | $0.973 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 August 24-30?No | buy | 8.51 | $0.999 | $8.5 | 14d ago |
 Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?No | sell | 9.63 | $0.998 | $9.61 | 14d ago |
 Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 1.15 | $0.910 | $1.05 | 14d ago |
| Will StepFun have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of August 2026?No | buy | 10.71 | $0.999 | $10.7 | 14d ago |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 6.35 | $0.996 | $6.32 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 7.42 | $0.997 | $7.4 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 1.21 | $0.860 | $1.04 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in June?No | sell | 8.52 | $0.995 | $8.48 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.20 in June?No | buy | 9.61 | $0.999 | $9.6 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?No | sell | 6.43 | $0.998 | $6.42 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $9,000 by end of June?No | buy | 7.51 | $0.999 | $7.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Will "Maternal Instinct" be the top global Netflix movie this week?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 8.42 | $0.998 | $8.4 | Jun 22, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 9.51 | $0.999 | $9.5 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.997 | $6.98 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?Yes | buy | 8.02 | $0.998 | $8 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on June 5?No | sell | 8.7 | $0.997 | $8.67 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Spread: Northern Ireland (-2.5)Guinea | buy | 1.05 | $0.983 | $1.03 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Databricks’ market cap be less than $100B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 1.06 | $0.995 | $1.05 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C or higher on June 5?No | buy | 9.82 | $0.998 | $9.8 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Madrid Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Pablo Llamas RuizPablo Llamas Ruiz | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Interactive Brokers Group (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 1.12 | $0.937 | $1.05 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on April 21?No | sell | 2.26 | $0.998 | $2.26 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on April 21?No | buy | 3.3 | $0.999 | $3.3 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Madrid Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Pablo Llamas RuizPablo Llamas Ruiz | buy | 1.04 | $0.993 | $1.03 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?No | sell | 4.36 | $0.995 | $4.34 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will XRP reach $3.00 in April?No | buy | 5.42 | $0.996 | $5.4 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?Yes | buy | 1.11 | $0.960 | $1.07 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 79000?No | sell | 6.5 | $0.994 | $6.46 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Meta’s Q1 headcount be above 79000?No | buy | 7.57 | $0.997 | $7.55 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | sell | 7.57 | $0.998 | $7.55 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 8.66 | $0.999 | $8.65 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | sell | 8.67 | $0.998 | $8.65 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?No | buy | 9.81 | $0.999 | $9.8 | Apr 20, 2026 |
 Will "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No | sell | 9.83 | $0.997 | $9.8 | Apr 20, 2026 |
| Will "Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle" be the top US Netflix movie this week?No | buy | 10.9 | $0.998 | $10.88 | Apr 20, 2026 |
Lifetime dollar volume the wallet has traded in the same snapshot. Profit read next to volume shows how much return each traded dollar earned.
Value of the wallet's open positions at the profile observation, priced at current marks. Zero can mean the wallet holds nothing open, or that no open value was observed.
Share of resolved positions that closed in profit within the available sample. A high win rate with a small profit usually means many small wins and a few large losses.
Realized winning markets summed against realized losing markets. The split shows whether profit came from many small wins or from a few big calls.
Total losses as a share of total gains in the available sample. Lower means less of the profit was given back; a value above 100% means the wallet lost more than it won.
Distinct markets the wallet has traded, and how many of its positions have resolved. Breadth tells you whether a record is one lucky call or a habit.
How many provider fill rows this view loaded and when the snapshot was taken. Vultax stamps every figure with its observation time instead of presenting an old number as live.