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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.52K | $0.701 | $1.3K | +$234.07 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?Yes | sell | 48 | $0.999 | $47.95 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 540 |
| $0.744 |
| $515.7 |
| +$114.1 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 333 | $0.670 | $311.36 | +$88.25 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 350 | $0.615 | $299.08 | +$83.93 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 250 | $0.800 | $238.75 | +$38.75 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 245 | $0.626 | $167.83 | +$14.33 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.500 | $83.15 | +$33.15 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | No | 80 | $0.600 | $74.8 | +$26.8 |
 Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | 34.04 | $0.690 | $29.44 | +$5.96 |
| sell |
| 99.99 |
| $0.989 |
| $98.89 |
| May 27, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.998 | $119.76 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?Yes | sell | 276.99 | $0.999 | $276.71 | May 23, 2026 |
 Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5Over | sell | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | May 5, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.998 | $249.5 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?No | sell | 110 | $0.400 | $44 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 2.89K | $0.998 | $2.88K | Mar 2, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | sell | 510 | $0.998 | $508.98 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?No | sell | 300 | $0.998 | $299.4 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 220 | $0.037 | $8.14 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?No | sell | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.660 | $0.09 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | sell | 110 | $0.998 | $109.78 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.996 | $109.56 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?No | buy | 890.31 | $0.984 | $876.07 | Feb 14, 2026 |
 Robinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on February 13?Down | sell | 374.57 | $0.002 | $0.62 | Feb 13, 2026 |
 Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 12?Up | sell | 583.86 | $0.001 | $0.58 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 120 | $0.997 | $119.64 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be less than $3.8B at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 115 | $0.999 | $114.89 | Feb 12, 2026 |
| Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on February 12?Up | sell | 200 | $0.020 | $4 | Feb 12, 2026 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?Yes | sell | 1.63K | $0.999 | $1.63K | Feb 11, 2026 |
 S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 11?Down | sell | 300 | $0.003 | $0.9 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 11?Up | sell | 300 | $0.995 | $298.5 | Feb 11, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?No | buy | 370 | $0.977 | $361.49 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Jesus Christ return before 2027 Odds >5% February 17, 12-1 AM?No | buy | 7.61 | $0.710 | $5.4 | Feb 7, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 400.8 | $0.997 | $399.6 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 400.8 | $0.998 | $400 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?No | buy | 469.21 | $0.998 | $468.27 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 6 days or more?No | buy | 500.57 | $0.999 | $500 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?Yes | buy | 501.5 | $0.997 | $500 | Feb 3, 2026 |
 Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | sell | 841.82 | $0.999 | $840.98 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | sell | 204.77 | $0.999 | $204.57 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | sell | 202.84 | $0.999 | $202.64 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?No | sell | 220.3 | $0.999 | $220.08 | Feb 3, 2026 |
| Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch?No | buy | 841.82 | $0.999 | $840.98 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?No | buy | 204.78 | $0.977 | $200 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?No | buy | 220.31 | $0.908 | $200 | Feb 2, 2026 |
| Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?No | buy | 202.85 | $0.986 | $200 | Feb 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 659.2 | $0.983 | $647.97 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 US government shutdown Saturday?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.920 | $100 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?Yes | buy | 109.89 | $0.910 | $100 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?Yes | buy | 238.94 | $0.837 | $200 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 303.64 | $0.988 | $300 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 104.09 | $0.961 | $100 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 204.29 | $0.979 | $200 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | sell | 400 | $0.800 | $320 | Jan 30, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?No | buy | 400 | $0.810 | $324 | Jan 30, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 600 | $0.920 | $552 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Australian Open?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.420 | $84 | Jan 29, 2026 |