Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | No | 1.33K | $0.975 | $1.33K | +$31.33 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?No | buy | 729.17 | $0.960 | $700 | Aug 6, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 729.17 |
| $0.960 |
| $703.28 |
| +$3.28 |
| buy |
| 719.42 |
| $0.139 |
| $100 |
| Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.33K | $0.975 | $1.3K | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.42K | $0.995 | $1.41K | May 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 158.13 | $0.984 | $155.6 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1K | $0.984 | $986.08 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | sell | 957.13 | $0.998 | $955.22 | Mar 12, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | sell | 384.61 | $0.080 | $30.87 | Mar 12, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 195.44 | $0.981 | $191.73 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 761.69 | $0.988 | $752.55 | Jan 26, 2026 |
 Will the Denver Nuggets make the NBA Playoffs?Yes | buy | 251.39 | $0.958 | $240.85 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2025?No | buy | 250.55 | $0.998 | $250 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?Yes | buy | 384.62 | $0.130 | $50 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 502.01 | $0.996 | $500 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 155.6 | $0.964 | $150 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 191.73 | $0.991 | $190 | Dec 13, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?No | buy | 200.61 | $0.987 | $198 | Nov 8, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31?No | buy | 108.25 | $0.970 | $105 | Oct 16, 2025 |
 Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?No | buy | 307.3 | $0.973 | $299 | Oct 7, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 335.35 | $0.993 | $333 | Sep 18, 2025 |
 Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 122.72 | $0.823 | $101 | Jul 31, 2025 |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 319.92 | $0.994 | $318 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 305.47 | $0.979 | $299 | Jul 31, 2025 |
 Will McLaren be the 2025 Constructors Champion?Yes | buy | 101.43 | $0.976 | $99 | Jul 15, 2025 |
 Pump.fun >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?Yes | buy | 502.51 | $0.995 | $500 | Jul 15, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?No | buy | 145.33 | $0.984 | $143 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?No | buy | 113.94 | $0.983 | $112 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 233.23 | $0.999 | $233 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Ethereum Up or Down on April 23?Up | buy | 69.47 | $0.950 | $66 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after May 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 204.35 | $0.920 | $188 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will Union win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 234.78 | $0.920 | $216 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Will another candidate win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?Yes | buy | 207.72 | $0.958 | $199 | Feb 6, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 311 | $0.986 | $306.65 | Jan 9, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 288 | $0.940 | $270.72 | Jan 9, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 557.01 | $0.997 | $555.34 | Dec 24, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 20.72K | $0.964 | $19.98K | Dec 15, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 20.72K | $0.965 | $20K | Dec 15, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 555.35 | $0.967 | $537.02 | Dec 15, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?No | buy | 134.96 | $0.977 | $131.86 | Dec 1, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Sunday?No | buy | 131.86 | $0.991 | $130.67 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k today?No | buy | 130.67 | $0.999 | $130.54 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $90,000 on November 22?Yes | buy | 130.54 | $0.995 | $129.89 | Nov 22, 2024 |
 Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?No | buy | 338.72 | $0.971 | $328.9 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | sell | 338.37 | $0.972 | $328.9 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?No | buy | 338.38 | $0.975 | $329.92 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will China invade Taiwan in 2024?No | buy | 360.08 | $0.972 | $350 | Nov 9, 2024 |
 Will Max Verstappen win the 2024 F1 season?Yes | buy | 402.06 | $0.970 | $390 | Nov 9, 2024 |