Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 308.67 | $0.648 | $298.95 | +$98.95 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | sell | 255.08 | $0.280 | $71.42 | Jul 24, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 208.33 |
| $0.240 |
| $106.25 |
| +$56.25 |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 364.29 | $0.137 | $105.64 | +$55.64 |
 Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 146.87 | $0.681 | $93.27 | -$6.73 |
 Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 71.53 | $0.699 | $59.62 | +$9.62 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 53.36 | $0.937 | $51.95 | +$1.95 |
 Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 657.89 | $0.038 | $41.78 | +$16.78 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 555.56 | $0.018 | $19.17 | +$9.17 |
 Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Yes | 451.95 | $0.105 | $10.62 | -$36.68 |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Yes | 408.16 | $0.049 | $2.65 | -$17.35 |
| sell |
| 49.06 |
| $0.999 |
| $49.01 |
| Jul 24, 2026 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Yes | buy | 451.95 | $0.105 | $47.3 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Yes | buy | 408.16 | $0.049 | $20 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 71.53 | $0.699 | $50 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?No | buy | 53.36 | $0.937 | $50 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?No | buy | 49.07 | $0.509 | $25 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will LeBron James play for the Minnesota Timberwolves in 2026-27?Yes | buy | 1.36K | $0.018 | $25 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 360.89 | $0.012 | $4.33 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 5K | $0.006 | $30 | Jul 20, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | sell | 434.78 | $0.290 | $126.09 | Jul 20, 2026 |
 Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?Yes | buy | 2.22K | $0.054 | $120.59 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?Yes | buy | 255.08 | $0.120 | $30.61 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | sell | 256.41 | $0.119 | $30.58 | Mar 21, 2026 |
 Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 554.29 | $0.035 | $19.4 | Mar 19, 2026 |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes | buy | 1.08K | $0.028 | $30 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Wolverhampton Wanderers FC win on 2026-03-16?Yes | buy | 119.81 | $0.160 | $19.17 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?Yes | buy | 238.1 | $0.210 | $50 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-14?Yes | buy | 94.34 | $0.530 | $50 | Mar 14, 2026 |
| Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-14?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.270 | $50 | Mar 14, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13?No | buy | 215.05 | $0.930 | $200 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Fed rate cut by April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 668.6 | $0.150 | $100 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.020 | $25 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 364.29 | $0.137 | $50 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.240 | $50 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes | buy | 360.89 | $0.277 | $100 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?No | buy | 434.78 | $0.230 | $100 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?No | buy | 120.48 | $0.830 | $100 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 256.41 | $0.390 | $100 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 308.67 | $0.648 | $200 | Mar 10, 2026 |
| Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 146.87 | $0.681 | $100 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | sell | 740.97 | $0.211 | $156.26 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Will Marseille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Yes | sell | 1.37K | $0.001 | $1.46 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage?Yes | sell | 83.33 | $0.075 | $6.25 | Mar 10, 2026 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?No | buy | 4.11K | $0.018 | $74 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 77.67 | $0.644 | $50 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 182.93 | $0.820 | $150 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 517.24 | $0.290 | $150 | Oct 20, 2025 |
 Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?Yes | buy | 633.59 | $0.395 | $250 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Marseille win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?Yes | buy | 519.14 | $0.212 | $110 | Oct 19, 2025 |
 Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-18?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.050 | $125.09 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Solana reach $270 in October?Yes | sell | 272 | $0.039 | $10.61 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Manchester City vs. Everton end in a draw?Yes | sell | 0.43 | $0.110 | $0.05 | Oct 18, 2025 |
 Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-18?Yes | buy | 465 | $0.810 | $376.65 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-18?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.150 | $300 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Newcastle win on 2025-10-18?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.160 | $80 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Sunderland AFC vs. Wolves end in a draw?Yes | buy | 1.9K | $0.263 | $500 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Bournemouth win on 2025-10-18?Yes | buy | 943.4 | $0.530 | $500 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Manchester City vs. Everton end in a draw?Yes | buy | 1.85K | $0.270 | $500 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Nottingham Forest vs. Chelsea end in a draw?Yes | sell | 1.43K | $0.180 | $257.18 | Oct 18, 2025 |